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We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Traditional regression and prediction tasks often only provide deterministic point estimates. To estimate the distribution or uncertainty of the response variable, traditional methods either assume that the posterior distribution of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan

One of the fundamental requirements for visual surveillance using non-overlapping camera networks is the correct labeling of tracked objects on each camera in a consistent way,in the sense that the captured tracklets, or observations in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Jiuqing Wan , Li Liu

We show an alternative way of representing a Bayesian belief network by sensitivities and probability distributions. This representation is equivalent to the traditional representation by conditional probabilities, but makes dependencies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Alexander V. Kozlov , Jaswinder Pal Singh

This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-13 Yariv Dror Mizrahi , Misha Denil , Nando de Freitas

Flexible and scalable decentralized learning solutions are fundamentally important in the application of multi-agent systems. While several recent approaches introduce (ensembles of) kernel machines in the distributed setting, Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Petar M. Djurić

We present a data-driven Bayesian nonparametric approach for global optimization (DaBNO) of stochastic black-box function. The function value depends on the distribution of a random vector. However, this distribution is usually complex and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Haowei Wang , Xun Zhang , Szu Hui Ng , Songhao Wang

In this paper we revisit the classical method of partitioning classification and study its convergence rate under relaxed conditions, both for observable (non-privatised) and for privatised data. We consider the problem of classification in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Balázs Csanád Csáji , László Györfi , Ambrus Tamás , Harro Walk

It is increasingly common to encounter time-varying random fields on networks (metabolic networks, sensor arrays, distributed computing, etc.). This paper considers the problem of optimal, nonlinear prediction of these fields, showing from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Identifying a low-dimensional informed parameter subspace offers a viable path to alleviating the dimensionality challenge in the sampled-based solution to large-scale Bayesian inverse problems. This paper introduces a novel gradient-based…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Olivier Zahm

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian

We study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator $\widehat{\pi}$ for Gaussian location mixtures in one dimension. It has been known since (Lindsay, 1983) that given an $n$-point dataset, this estimator always returns a mixture with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Yury Polyanskiy , Mark Sellke

Most real-world problems that machine learning algorithms are expected to solve face the situation with 1) unknown data distribution; 2) little domain-specific knowledge; and 3) datasets with limited annotation. We propose Non-Parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Zhiying Jiang , Yiqin Dai , Ji Xin , Ming Li , Jimmy Lin

We consider probabilistic inference in general hybrid networks, which include continuous and discrete variables in an arbitrary topology. We reexamine the question of variable discretization in a hybrid network aiming at minimizing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Alexander V. Kozlov , Daphne Koller

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Several learning algorithms have been proposed for offline multi-label classification. However, applications in areas such as traffic monitoring, social networks, and sensors produce data continuously, the so called data streams, posing…

We consider the problem of making nonparametric inference in a class of multi-dimensional diffusions in divergence form, from low-frequency data. Statistical analysis in this setting is notoriously challenging due to the intractability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Matteo Giordano , Sven Wang
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