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The increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation introduces significant uncertainty into power system operation, necessitating forecasting approaches that extend beyond deterministic point predictions. This paper proposes an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Slawek Smyl , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

This paper presents a novel and flexible solution for fault prediction based on data collected from SCADA system. Fault prediction is offered at two different levels based on a data-driven approach: (a) generic fault/status prediction and…

Weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction models play a central role in solar energy forecasting, where a cascade of physics-based models is used in a model chain approach to convert forecasts of solar irradiance to solar power…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-10 Nina Horat , Sina Klerings , Sebastian Lerch

We present a data-driven approach for forecasting global weather using graph neural networks. The system learns to step forward the current 3D atmospheric state by six hours, and multiple steps are chained together to produce skillful…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Ryan Keisler

Appropriate greenhouse temperature should be maintained to ensure crop production while minimizing energy consumption. Even though weather forecasts could provide a certain amount of information to improve control performance, it is not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-03 Wei-Han Chen , Fengqi You

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

The estimation of total solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is important in the field of solar energy generation and forecasting. Several clear-sky solar radiation models have been developed over the last few decades. Most of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-30 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Accurate parameterization of rooftop photovoltaic (PV) installations is critical for effective grid management and strategic large-scale solar deployment. The lack of high-fidelity datasets for PV configuration parameters often compels…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Bowen Tian , Roel C. G. M. Loonen , Roland Valckenborg , Jan L. M. Hensen

Power prediction is crucial to the efficiency and reliability of Photovoltaic (PV) systems. For the model-chain-based (also named indirect or physical) power prediction, the conversion of ground environmental data (plane-of-array irradiance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-20 Baojie Li , Xin Chen , Anubhav Jain

The energy consumption of Data Centers (DCs) is a very important figure for the telecommunications operators, not only in terms of cost, but also in terms of operational reliability. A relation between the energy consumption and the weather…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Georgios Smpokos , Mohamed A. Elshatshat , Athanasios Lioumpas , Ilias Iliopoulos

Electricity price forecasting is a critical tool for the efficient operation of power systems and for supporting informed decision-making by market participants. This paper explores a novel methodology aimed at improving the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Bartosz Uniejewski , Florian Ziel

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

Decisions in agriculture are frequently based on weather. With an increase in the availability and affordability of off-the-shelf weather stations, farmers able to acquire localised weather information. However, with uncertainty in the…

Photovoltaic power is a renewable source of energy which is highly used in industries. In economically struggling countries it can be a potential source of electric energy as other non-renewable resources are already exhausting. Now if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Swayamjit Saha , Niladri Majumder , Devansh Sangani

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

In order to enable the transition towards renewable energy sources, probabilistic energy forecasting is of critical importance for incorporating volatile power sources such as solar energy into the electrical grid. Solar energy forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Benedikt Schulz , Mehrez El Ayari , Sebastian Lerch , Sándor Baran

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

As variable renewable energy sources comprise a growing share of total electricity generation, energy storage technologies are becoming increasingly critical for balancing energy generation and demand. In this study, we modeled an existing…

The intermittency of solar power, due to occlusion from cloud cover, is one of the key factors inhibiting its widespread use in both commercial and residential settings. Hence, real-time forecasting of solar irradiance for grid-connected…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Leron Julian , Aswin C. Sankaranarayanan

Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) power generator is a widely used distributed energy resource (DER) in distribution systems. Currently, the majority of PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), where only customers' net demand is recorded by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-31 Fankun Bu , Kaveh Dehghanpour , Yuxuan Yuan , Zhaoyu Wang , Yingchen Zhang