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Poisson regression is a popular tool for modeling count data and is applied in a vast array of applications from the social to the physical sciences and beyond. Real data, however, are often over- or under-dispersed and, thus, not conducive…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-10 Kimberly F. Sellers , Galit Shmueli

Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distributions are flexible generalizations of the Poisson distribution for modelling overdispersed or underdispersed counts. The main hindrance to their wider use in practice seems to be the inability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-15 Alan Huang

Bayesian models that can handle both over and under dispersed counts are rare in the literature, perhaps because full probability distributions for dispersed counts are rather difficult to construct. This note takes a first look at Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Andy Sang Il Kim

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) or COM-Poison regression is a popular model for count data due to its ability to capture both under dispersion and over dispersion. However, CMP regression is limited when dealing with complex nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions represents a challenging suite of problems in modern statistics. In this work we analyse the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution, a two parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-13 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

Count data play a crucial role in sports analytics, providing valuable insights into various aspects of the game. Models that accurately capture the characteristics of count data are essential for making reliable inferences. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-26 Mauro Florez , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Researchers are often interested in understanding the relationship between a set of covariates and a set of response variables. To achieve this goal, the use of regression analysis, either linear or generalized linear models, is largely…

In the analysis of count data often the equidispersion assumption is not suitable, hence the Poisson regression model is inappropriate. As a generalization of the Poisson distribution, the COM-Poisson distribution can deal with under-,…

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic mortality modelling by using the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson (CMP) distribution to model death counts. Unlike standard Poisson or negative binomial distributions, the CMP is a more adaptable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jackie Siaw Tze Wong , Emiliano A. Valdez

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

We present a class of positive discrete random variables extending the Conway--Maxwell-Poisson distribution. This class emerges in a natural way from an application in queueing theory and contains distributions exhibiting quite different…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 G. D'Onofrio , F. Polito , Z. Tomovski

Event counts are response variables with non-negative integer values representing the number of times that an event occurs within a fixed domain such as a time interval, a geographical area or a cell of a contingency table. Analysis of…

Univariate regression models have rich literature for counting data. However, this is not the case for multivariate count data. Therefore, we present the Multivariate Generalized Linear Mixed Models framework that deals with a multivariate…

Zero inflation is a common nuisance while monitoring disease progression over time. This article proposes a new observation driven model for zero inflated and over-dispersed count time series. The counts given the past history of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Vurukonda Sathish , Siuli Mukhopadhyay , Rashmi Tiwari

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

A novel over-dispersed discrete distribution, namely the PoiTG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed transmuted geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

Beta-binomial/Poisson models have been used by many authors to model multivariate count data. Lora and Singer (Statistics in Medicine, 2008) extended such models to accommodate repeated multivariate count data with overdipersion in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-08 Mayra Ivanoff Lora , Julio M Singer

Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Dexter Cahoy , Elvira Di Nardo , Federico Polito

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution is a two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution that can be used to model data that is under- or over-dispersed relative to the Poisson distribution. The normalizing constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Robert E. Gaunt , Satish Iyengar , Adri B. Olde Daalhuis , Burcin Simsek

We show that the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson distribution can be arbitrarily underdispersed when parametrized via its mean. More precisely, if the mean $\mu$ is an integer then the limiting distribution is a unit probability mass at $\mu$. If…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Alan Huang
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