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This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

Complex computer codes or models can often be run in a hierarchy of different levels of complexity ranging from the very basic to the sophisticated. The top levels in this hierarchy are typically expensive to run, which limits the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Louise Kimpton , James Salter , Tim Dodwell , Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

Datasets containing both categorical and continuous variables are frequently encountered in many areas, and with the rapid development of modern measurement technologies, the dimensions of these variables can be very high. Despite the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-03 Binyan Jiang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Wang , Zhongqing Yang , Xinyang Yu

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

The Gaussian process is a standard tool for building emulators for both deterministic and stochastic computer experiments. However, application of Gaussian process models is greatly limited in practice, particularly for large-scale and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-09 Chih-Li Sung , Wenjia Wang , Matthew Plumlee , Benjamin Haaland

Occupancy mapping has been a key enabler of mobile robotics. Originally based on a discrete grid representation, occupancy mapping has evolved towards continuous representations that can predict the occupancy status at any location and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Cedric Le Gentil , Cedric Pradalier , Timothy D. Barfoot

Gaussian Process (GP) emulators are widely used to approximate complex computer model behaviour across the input space. Motivated by the problem of coupling computer models, recently progress has been made in the theory of the analysis of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-20 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

Recent advances in the field of meta-learning have tackled domains consisting of large numbers of small ("few-shot") supervised learning tasks. Meta-learning algorithms must be able to rapidly adapt to any individual few-shot task, fitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Vivek Myers , Nikhil Sardana

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

Gaussian process classification is a popular method with a number of appealing properties. We show how to scale the model within a variational inducing point framework, outperforming the state of the art on benchmark datasets. Importantly,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-10 James Hensman , Alex Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

The paper deals with the problem of output regulation of nonlinear systems by presenting a learning-based adaptive internal model-based design strategy. We borrow from the adaptive internal model design technique recently proposed in [1]…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Lorenzo Gentilini , Michelangelo Bin , Lorenzo Marconi

With the rapid development of modern technology, massive amounts of data with complex pattern are generated. Gaussian process models that can easily fit the non-linearity in data become more and more popular nowadays. It is often the case…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-11 Zhiyong Hu , Dipak Dey

This paper describes an expectation propagation (EP) method for multi-class classification with Gaussian processes that scales well to very large datasets. In such a method the estimate of the log-marginal-likelihood involves a sum across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

This paper investigates two issues on identification of switched linear systems: persistence of excitation and numerical algorithms. The main contribution is a much weaker condition on the regressor to be persistently exciting that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-07 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Changming Cheng , Er-Wei Bai

This paper deals with surrogate modelling of a computer code output in a hierarchical multi-fidelity context, i.e., when the output can be evaluated at different levels of accuracy and computational cost. Using observations of the output at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Baptiste Kerleguer , Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier

In a standard multi-output classification scenario, both features and labels of training data are partially observed. This challenging issue is widely witnessed due to sensor or database failures, crowd-sourcing and noisy communication…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Giancarlo Fissore , Aurélien Decelle , Cyril Furtlehner , Yufei Han

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

In this work, we propose a novel framework for large-scale Gaussian process (GP) modeling. Contrary to the global, and local approximations proposed in the literature to address the computational bottleneck with exact GP modeling, we employ…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Akhil Vakayil , Roshan Joseph

We consider the probability of having two intervals (gaps) without eigenvalues in the bulk scaling limit of the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble of random matrices. We describe uniform asymptotics for the transition between a single large gap and…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-19 Benjamin Fahs , Igor Krasovsky
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