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This paper deals with the detection and prediction of losses due to cyber attacks waged on vital networks. The accumulation of losses to a network during a series of attacks is modeled by a 2-dimensional monotone random walk process as…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

Traditional security analyses are often geared towards cryptographic primitives or protocols. Although such analyses are necessary, they cannot address a defender's need for insight into {\em which aspects of a networked system having a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Xiaohu Li , Paul Parker , Shouhuai Xu

Stochastic processes can model many emerging phenomena on networks, like the spread of computer viruses, rumors, or infectious diseases. Understanding the dynamics of such stochastic spreading processes is therefore of fundamental interest.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

For large-scale power networks, the failure of particular transmission lines can offload power to other lines and cause self-protection trips to activate, instigating a cascade of line failures. In extreme cases, this can bring down the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-08 Charles Matthews , Bradly Stadie , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu , Christopher Demarco

Modeling and analyzing security of networked systems is an important problem in the emerging Science of Security and has been under active investigation. In this paper, we propose a new approach towards tackling the problem. Our approach is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Gaofeng Da , Maochao Xu , Shouhuai Xu

The ability to accurately predict cyber-attacks would enable organizations to mitigate their growing threat and avert the financial losses and disruptions they cause. But how predictable are cyber-attacks? Researchers have attempted to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Nazgol Tavabi , Andrés Abeliuk , Negar Mokhberian , Jeremy Abramson , Kristina Lerman

Stochastic network calculus is a newly developed theory for stochastic service guarantee analysis of computer networks. In the current stochastic network calculus literature, its fundamental models are based on the cumulative amount of…

Performance · Computer Science 2011-12-14 Jing Xie , Yuming Jiang , Min Xie

Stochastic network calculus is a theory for stochastic service guarantee analysis of computer communication networks. In the current stochastic network calculus literature, its traffic and server models are typically based on the cumulative…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-06-11 J. Xie , Y. Jiang

In this paper, we consider the problem of attack-resilient state estimation, that is to reliably estimate the true system states despite two classes of attacks: (i) attacks on the switching mechanisms and (ii) false data injection attacks…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-03-31 Jörg Lehmann , Jakob Bernasconi

We describe defense mechanisms designed to detect sophisticated grid attacks involving both physical actions (including load modification) and sensor output alteration, with the latter performed in a sparse manner and also so as to take…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Daniel Bienstock , Mauro Escobar

Cyber attacks are growing in frequency and severity. Over the past year alone we have witnessed massive data breaches that stole personal information of millions of people and wide-scale ransomware attacks that paralyzed critical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Palash Goyal , KSM Tozammel Hossain , Ashok Deb , Nazgol Tavabi , Nathan Bartley , Andr'es Abeliuk , Emilio Ferrara , Kristina Lerman

We consider a network consisting of $n$ components (links or nodes) and assume that the network has two states, up and down. We further suppose that the network is subject to shocks that appear according to a counting process and that each…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-16 S. Zarezadeh , S. Ashrafi , M. Asadi

In the study of dynamical processes on networks, there has been intense focus on network structure -- i.e., the arrangement of edges and their associated weights -- but the effects of the temporal patterns of edges remains poorly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Till Hoffmann , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

Consider a stochastic process being controlled across a communication channel. The control signal that is transmitted across the control channel can be replaced by a malicious attacker. The controller is allowed to implement any arbitrary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Cheng-Zong Bai , Fabio Pasqualetti , Vijay Gupta

We investigate the stability problem for discrete-time stochastic switched linear systems under the specific scenarios where information about the switching patterns and the probability of switches are not available. Our analysis focuses on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Ahmet Cetinkaya , Hideaki Ishii , Tomohisa Hayakawa

Risk assessment is an inevitable step in implementation of a cyber-defense strategy. An important part of this assessment is to reason about the impact of possible attacks. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating the impact of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Jezdimir Milosevic , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

If cyber incidents are predicted a reasonable amount of time before they occur, defensive actions to prevent their destructive effects could be planned. Unfortunately, most of the time we do not have enough observables of the malicious…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Ahmet Okutan , Shanchieh Jay Yang , Katie McConky

Empirical estimation of critical points at which complex systems abruptly flip from one state to another is among the remaining challenges in network science. However, due to the stochastic nature of critical transitions it is widely…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-09 B. Podobnik , T. Lipic , D. Horvatic , A. Majdandzic , S. Bishop , H. E. Stanley

In neural network (NN) security, safeguarding model integrity and resilience against adversarial attacks has become paramount. This study investigates the application of stochastic computing (SC) as a novel mechanism to fortify NN models.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Faeze S. Banitaba , Sercan Aygun , M. Hassan Najafi
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