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Why do biased predictions arise? What interventions can prevent them? We evaluate 8.2 million algorithmic predictions of math performance from $\approx$400 AI engineers, each of whom developed an algorithm under a randomly assigned…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-07 Bo Cowgill , Fabrizio Dell'Acqua , Samuel Deng , Daniel Hsu , Nakul Verma , Augustin Chaintreau

While current deep learning systems excel at tasks such as object classification, language processing, and gameplay, few can construct or modify a complex system such as a tower of blocks. We hypothesize that what these systems lack is a…

We study a model of binary decisions in a fully connected network of interacting agents. Individual decisions are determined by social influence, coming from direct interactions with neighbours, and a group level pressure that accounts for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Michele Aleandri , Ida Germana Minelli

Bayesian Optimization, the application of Bayesian function approximation to finding optima of expensive functions, has exploded in popularity in recent years. In particular, much attention has been paid to improving its efficiency on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Mickael Binois , Nathan Wycoff

With the increasing number of intrusions in system and network infrastructures, Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) have become an active area of research to develop reliable and effective solutions to detect and counter them. The use of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2012-12-04 Herve Kabamba Mbikayi

The increasing deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) tools to inform decision making across diverse areas including healthcare, employment, social benefits, and government policy, presents a serious risk for disabled people, who have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Denis Newman-Griffis , Jessica Sage Rauchberg , Rahaf Alharbi , Louise Hickman , Harry Hochheiser

Methods of causal discovery aim to identify causal structures in a data driven way. Existing algorithms are known to be unstable and sensitive to statistical errors, and are therefore rarely used with biomedical or epidemiological data. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Christine W Bang , Janine Witte , Ronja Foraita , Vanessa Didelez

Emergent design failures are ubiquitous in complex systems, and often arise when system elements cluster. Approaches to systematically reduce clustering could improve a design's resilience, but reducing clustering is difficult if it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-22 Pheerawich Chitnelawong , Andrei A. Klishin , Norman MacKay , David J. Singer , Greg van Anders

The problem of natural selection in dispersal-structured populations consisting of individuals characterized by different diffusion coefficients is studied. The competition between the organisms is taken into account through the assumption…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-05-01 E. Heinsalu , D. Navidad Maeso , M. Patriarca

This paper develops a predictive switching control algorithm for stochastic gene regulatory networks described by a Partial Integro-Differential Equation (PIDE) model, which enables direct shape control of the probability density function.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Christian Fernández , Manuel Pájaro , Gábor Szederkényi , Irene Otero-Muras

Causal modeling has long been an attractive topic for many researchers and in recent decades there has seen a surge in theoretical development and discovery algorithms. Generally discovery algorithms can be divided into two approaches:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-06 Ridho Rahmadi , Perry Groot , Marianne Heins , Hans Knoop , Tom Heskes

Optimal experimental design is an essential subfield of statistics that maximizes the chances of experimental success. The D- and A-optimal design is a very challenging problem in the field of optimal design, namely minimizing the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Lyuyang Tong

In the context of industrial engineering, it is important to integrate efficient computational optimization methods in the product development process. Some of the most challenging simulation-based engineering design optimization problems…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-13 Ramses Sala , Niccolo Baldanzini , Marco Pierini

Nowadays, software has become a complex piece of work that may be beyond our control. Understanding how software evolves over time plays an important role in controlling software development processes. Recently, a few researchers found the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2008-08-26 Yutao Ma , Keqing He , Jing Liu

Efficient search acts as a strong selective force in biological systems ranging from cellular populations to predator-prey systems. The search processes commonly involve finding a stationary or mobile target within a heterogeneously…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-01-03 Youness Azimzade , Alireza Mashaghi

Background. Organisms use a variety of mechanisms to protect themselves against perturbations. For example, repair mechanisms fix damage, feedback loops keep homeostatic systems at their setpoints, and biochemical filters distinguish signal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-14 Steven A. Frank

We wish to explore the contribution that asocial and social learning might play as a mechanism for self-adaptation in the search for variable-length structures by an evolutionary algorithm. An extremely challenging, yet simple to understand…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Michael O'Neill , Anthony Brabazon

Protein structure-based property prediction has emerged as a promising approach for various biological tasks, such as protein function prediction and sub-cellular location estimation. The existing methods highly rely on experimental protein…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Yufei Huang , Siyuan Li , Jin Su , Lirong Wu , Odin Zhang , Haitao Lin , Jingqi Qi , Zihan Liu , Zhangyang Gao , Yuyang Liu , Jiangbin Zheng , Stan. ZQ. Li

Machine learning models achieve state-of-the-art performance on many supervised learning tasks. However, prior evidence suggests that these models may learn to rely on shortcut biases or spurious correlations (intuitively, correlations that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Sindhu C. M. Gowda , Shalmali Joshi , Haoran Zhang , Marzyeh Ghassemi

In evolutionary dynamics, a key measure of a mutant trait's success is the probability that it takes over the population given some initial mutant-appearance distribution. This "fixation probability" is difficult to compute in general, as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-18 Alex McAvoy , Benjamin Allen