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We start by showing that the finite-time absolute ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force can be expressed in terms of the transition probability of a positive Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, say X. Our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-15 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Pierre Patie

We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Denis Denisov , Niklas Gotthardt , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

This paper considers the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, with the additional feature that the number of clients can fluctuate over time. Clients arrive according to a Poisson process, where the times they spend in the system form a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Peter Braunsteins , Michel Mandjes

We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

We consider a risk-sensitive optimization of consumption-utility on infinite time horizon where the one-period investment gain depends on an underlying economic state whose evolution over time is assumed to be described by a discrete-time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana , Tak Kuen Siu

In this paper, we analyse piecewise deterministic Markov processes, as introduced in Davis (1984). Many models in insurance mathematics can be formulated in terms of the general concept of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Peter Kritzer , Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

Enlargement of filtrations is a classical topic in the general theory of stochastic processes. This theory has been applied to stochastic finance in order to analyze models with insider information. In this paper we study initial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-25 Dario Gasbarra , José Igor Morlanes , Esko Valkeila

Lundberg-type inequalities for ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models are presented in this paper. By employing martingale method, the upper bounds of ruin probabilities are obtained for the general risk models under weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

The article poses a general model for optimal control subject to information constraints, motivated in part by recent work of Sims and others on information-constrained decision-making by economic agents. In the average-cost optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Ehsan Shafieepoorfard , Maxim Raginsky , Sean P. Meyn

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Yuri Kabanov , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

The paper deals with a generalization of the risk model with stochastic premiums where dependence structures between claim sizes and inter-claim times as well as premium sizes and inter-premium times are modeled by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Olena Ragulina

The ruin probability in the classical Brownian risk model can be explicitly calculated for both finite and infinite-time horizon. This is not the case for the simultaneous ruin probability in two-dimensional Brownian risk model. Resorting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

We build on the theory of capital requirements (CRs) to create a new framework for modeling dynamic risk preferences. The key question is how to evaluate the risk of a payoff stream sequentially as new information is revealed. In our model,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-12 William B. Haskell , Abhishek Gupta , Shiping Shao

We consider the valuation problem of an (insurance) company under partial information. Therefore we use the concept of maximizing discounted future dividend payments. The firm value process is described by a diffusion model with constant…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

We study solvency of insurers in a comprehensive model where various economic factors affect the capital developments of the companies. The main interest is in the impact of real growth to ruin probabilities. The volume of the business is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Harri Nyrhinen

We consider finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes where parameters, such as transition probabilities, are unknown and estimated from data. The popular distributionally robust approach to addressing the parameter uncertainty can sometimes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-07 Yifan Lin , Yuxuan Ren , Enlu Zhou

In multi-state life insurance, an adequate balance between analytic tractability, computational efficiency, and statistical flexibility is of great importance. This might explain the popularity of Markov chain modelling, where matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt , Christian Furrer

We study optimal control of Markov processes with age-dependent transition rates. The control policy is chosen continuously over time based on the state of the process and its age. We study infinite horizon discounted cost and infinite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Mrinal K. Ghosh , Subhamay Saha

To quantify the changes in the credit rating of a bond is an important mathematical problem for the credit rating industry. To think of the credit rating as the state a Markov chain is an interesting proposal leading to challenges in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Henryk Gzyl , Silvia Mayoral