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Stochastic equations play an important role in computational science, due to their ability to treat a wide variety of complex statistical problems. However, current algorithms are strongly limited by their sampling variance, which scales…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Bogdan Opanchuk , Simon Kiesewetter , Peter D. Drummond

The paper studies a class of quadratic optimal control problems for partially observable linear dynamical systems. In contrast to the full information case, the control is required to be adapted to the filtration generated by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Jingrui Sun , Jie Xiong

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

The optimal control problem of stochastic systems is commonly solved via robust or scenario-based optimization methods, which are both challenging to scale to long optimization horizons. We cast the optimal control problem of a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Etienne Buehrle , Christoph Stiller

We extend the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for approximately solving optimal stopping problems on high-dimensional state spaces. We reformulate the optimal stopping problem for Markov processes in discrete time as a generalized statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Egloff

In this paper, we study the optimal control problem for steering the state covariance of a discrete-time linear stochastic system over a finite time horizon. First, we establish the existence and uniqueness of the optimal control law for a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Fengjiao Liu , George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This paper is concerned with a stochastic linear quadratic (LQ, for short) control problem with a recursive cost functional in an infinite horizon. A main difficult is well-posedness of the BSDE in $L^1$ and in infinite horizon. A notion of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lin Li , Jiongmin Yong

Generalising the idea of the classical EM algorithm that is widely used for computing maximum likelihood estimates, we propose an EM-Control (EM-C) algorithm for solving multi-period finite time horizon stochastic control problems. The new…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Steven Kou , Xianhua Peng , Xingbo Xu

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

Several methods have been proposed in the literature to solve reliability-based optimization problems, where failure probabilities are design constraints. However, few methods address the problem of life-cycle cost or risk optimization,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-09 H. M. Kroetz , M. Moustapha , A. T. Beck , B. Sudret

In this paper a novel modification of the multilevel Monte Carlo approach, allowing for further significant complexity reduction, is proposed. The idea of the modification is to use the method of control variates to reduce variance at level…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Denis Belomestny , Tigran Nagapetyan

Consider the problem of minimizing the expected value of a (possibly nonconvex) cost function parameterized by a random (vector) variable, when the expectation cannot be computed accurately (e.g., because the statistics of the random…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Yang Yang , Gesualdo Scutari , Daniel P. Palomar , Marius Pesavento

This paper considers the stochastic linear quadratic optimal control problem in which the control domain is nonconvex. By the functional analysis and convex perturbation methods, we establish a novel maximum principle. The application of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Shaolin Ji , Xiaole Xue

The famous least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm combines linear least square regression with Monte Carlo simulation to approximately solve problems in stochastic optimal stopping theory. In this work, we propose a quantum LSM based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-28 João F. Doriguello , Alessandro Luongo , Jinge Bao , Patrick Rebentrost , Miklos Santha

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

This paper considers optimal control of dynamical systems which are represented by nonlinear stochastic differential equations. It is well-known that the optimal control policy for this problem can be obtained as a function of a value…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Oktay Arslan , Evangelos Theodorou , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Nested Monte Carlo is widely used for risk estimation, but its efficiency is limited by the discontinuity of the indicator function and high computational cost. This paper proposes a nested Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method combined with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Yu Xu , Xiaoqun Wang

We consider the optimal control problem for a linear conditional McKean-Vlasov equation with quadratic cost functional. The coefficients of the system and the weigh-ting matrices in the cost functional are allowed to be adapted processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Huyên Pham

We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer
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