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We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach, now commonly used in spatial statistics to construct Gaussian random fields, is revisited from a mechanistic perspective based on the movement of microscopic particles, thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Lionel Roques , Denis Allard , Samuel Soubeyrand

We address the multiclass classification problem for stochastic diffusion paths, assuming that the classes are distinguished by their drift functions, while the diffusion coefficient remains common across all classes. In this setting, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Christophe Denis , Eddy Ella Mintsa

Long-term causal inference has drawn increasing attention in many scientific domains. Existing methods mainly focus on estimating average long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational data and short-term experimental data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Zeqin Yang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

We discuss non-parametric density estimation and regression for astrophysics problems. In particular, we show how to compute non-parametric confidence intervals for the location and size of peaks of a function. We illustrate these ideas…

We introduce and study a new class of partial differential equations (PDEs) with hybrid fuzzy-stochastic parameters, coined fuzzy-stochastic PDEs. Compared to purely stochastic PDEs or purely fuzzy PDEs, fuzzy-stochastic PDEs offer powerful…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mohammad Motamed

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

In this study, we propose a new method that is useful for estimating unknown parameter values of stochastic differential equation (SDE) models, based on probability density function (PDF) data measured from random dynamical systems. As our…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-05 Katsutoshi Yoshida , Yoshikazu Yamanaka

We give a probabilistic numerical method for solving a partial differential equation with fractional diffusion and nonlinear drift. The probabilistic interpretation of this equation uses a system of particles driven by L\'evy alpha-stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Benjamin Jourdain , Raphaël Roux

Estimating the score, i.e., the gradient of log density function, from a set of samples generated by an unknown distribution is a fundamental task in inference and learning of probabilistic models that involve flexible yet intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Yuhao Zhou , Jiaxin Shi , Jun Zhu

Let $\{X_n: n\in \mathbb{N}\}$ be a linear process with bounded probability density function $f(x)$. We study the estimation of the quadratic functional $\int_{\mathbb{R}} f^2(x)\, dx$. With a Fourier transform on the kernel function and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Hailing Sang , Yongli Sang , Fangjun Xu

We consider the problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of drift parameters of the ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process under continuous observations when the Hurst parameter $H<1/2$ and the mean of its stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Kohei Chiba , Tetsuya Takabatake

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

We generalize the method of obtaining the fundamental linear partial differential equations such as the diffusion and Schrodinger equation, Dirac and telegrapher's equation from a simple stochastic consideration to arrive at certain…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-26 Karmadeva Maharana

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

We provide pointwise upper bounds for the transition kernels of semigroups associated with a class of systems of nondegenerate elliptic partial differential equations with unbounded coefficients with possibly unbounded diffusion…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Davide Addona , Luca Lorenzi , Marianna Porfido

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift of a continuously observed one-dimensional diffusion with periodic drift. Motivated by computational considerations, van der Meulen e.a. (2014) defined a prior on the drift as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Jan van Waaij

This paper deals with the study, from a probabilistic point of view, of logistic-type differential equations with uncertainties. We assume that the initial condition is a random variable and the diffusion coefficient is a stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-31 J. -C. Cortés , A. Navarro-Quiles , J. -V. Romero , M. -D. Roselló

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric random regression model $Y=f_1(X_1)+f_2(X_2)+\epsilon$ and address the problem of estimating the function $f_1$. The term $f_2(X_2)$ is regarded as a nuisance term which can be considerably more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Martin Wahl
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