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We develop constrained Bayesian estimation methods for small area problems: those requiring smoothness with respect to similarity across areas, such as geographic proximity or clustering by covariates; and benchmarking constraints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-28 Rebecca C. Steorts

In this paper we develop and study adaptive empirical Bayesian smoothing splines. These are smoothing splines with both smoothing parameter and penalty order determined via the empirical Bayes method from the marginal likelihood of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Paulo Serra , Tatyana Krivobokova

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-16 Marcelo Fernandes , Emmanuel Guerre , Eduardo Horta

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

Bayesian matrix completion has been studied based on a low-rank matrix factorization formulation with promising results. However, little work has been done on Bayesian matrix completion based on the more direct spectral regularization…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Yang Song , Jun Zhu

We extend the linear mixed-effects state model to accommodate the correlated individuals and investigate its parameter and state estimation based on disturbance smoothing in this paper. For parameter estimation, EM and score based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-03 Jie Zhou , Aiping Tang

The new class of Markov processes is proposed to realize the flexible shrinkage effects for the dynamic models. The transition density of the new process consists of two penalty functions, similarly to Bayesian fused LASSO in its functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Kaoru Irie

Matrix factorization (MF) has become a common approach to collaborative filtering, due to ease of implementation and scalability to large data sets. Two existing drawbacks of the basic model is that it does not incorporate side information…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-30 Cody Severinski , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Matrix factorization from a small number of observed entries has recently garnered much attention as the key ingredient of successful recommendation systems. One unresolved problem in this area is how to adapt current methods to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-07 John Z. Sun , Kush R. Varshney , Karthik Subbian

The multivariate extended skew-normal distribution allows for accommodating raw data which are skewed and heavy tailed, and has at least three appealing statistical properties, namely closure under conditioning, affine transformations, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-19 Mathieu Gerber , Florian Pelgrin

A prevalent problem in general state space models is the approximation of the smoothing distribution of a state conditional on the observations from the past, the present, and the future. The aim of this paper is to provide a rigorous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Thi Ngoc Minh Nguyen , Sylvain Le Corff , Eric Moulines

In this paper, a B-spline chained multiple random matrices representation is proposed to model geometric characteristics of an elongated deformable object. The hyper degrees of freedom structure of the elongated deformable object make its…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Gang Yao , Ryan Saltus , Ashwin Dani

Extended object tracking considers the simultaneous estimation of the kinematic state and the shape parameters of a moving object based on a varying number of noisy detections. A main challenge in extended object tracking is the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Shishan Yang , Marcus Baum

We present a Bayesian nonparametric model for conditional distribution estimation using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The generative model we use is based on rejection sampling from a base model. Typical of BART models, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Yinpu Li , Antonio R. Linero , Jared S. Murray

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

The statistics of the diffusive motion of particles often serve as an experimental proxy for their interaction with the environment. However, inferring the physical properties from the observed trajectories is challenging. Inspired by a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-05-29 Amit Federbush , Amit Moscovich , Yohai Bar-Sinai

State estimation of multi-modal hybrid systems is an important problem with many applications in the field robotics. However, incorporating discrete modes in the estimation process is hampered by a potentially combinatorial growth in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Fan Jiang , Varun Agrawal , Russell Buchanan , Maurice Fallon , Frank Dellaert

Probabilistic conditioning is concerned with the identification of a distribution of a random variable $X$ given a random variable $Y$. It is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications where modeling uncertainty is key. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Panos Tsimpos , Edoardo Calvello , Ayoub Belhadji , Nicholas H. Nelsen