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Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Chen Tang , Jianyu Chen , Masayoshi Tomizuka

This work presents a probabilistic deep neural network that combines LiDAR point clouds and RGB camera images for robust, accurate 3D object detection. We explicitly model uncertainties in the classification and regression tasks, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Di Feng , Yifan Cao , Lars Rosenbaum , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer

Autonomous Vehicle (AV) perception systems have advanced rapidly in recent years, providing vehicles with the ability to accurately interpret their environment. Perception systems remain susceptible to errors caused by overly-confident…

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

Traffic accident anticipation aims to predict accidents from dashcam videos as early as possible, which is critical to safety-guaranteed self-driving systems. With cluttered traffic scenes and limited visual cues, it is of great challenge…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Wentao Bao , Qi Yu , Yu Kong

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

In order to plan a safe maneuver an autonomous vehicle must accurately perceive its environment, and understand the interactions among traffic participants. In this paper, we aim to learn scene-consistent motion forecasts of complex urban…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Sergio Casas , Cole Gulino , Simon Suo , Katie Luo , Renjie Liao , Raquel Urtasun

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Mobile robots navigating in crowds trained using reinforcement learning are known to suffer performance degradation when faced with out-of-distribution scenarios. We propose that by properly accounting for the uncertainties of pedestrians,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Jianpeng Yao , Xiaopan Zhang , Yu Xia , Zejin Wang , Amit K. Roy-Chowdhury , Jiachen Li

Uncertainty in control and perception poses challenges for autonomous vehicle navigation in unstructured environments, leading to navigation failures and potential vehicle damage. This paper introduces a framework that minimizes control and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Junwon Seo , Jungwi Mun , Taekyung Kim

We investigate the problem of coordinating human-driven vehicles in road intersections without any traffic lights or signs by issuing speed advices. The vehicles in the intersection are assumed to move along an a priori known path and to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Alexander Katriniok , Stefan Kojchev , Erjen Lefeber , Henk Nijmeijer

Self-driving vehicles plan around both static and dynamic objects, applying predictive models of behavior to estimate future locations of the objects in the environment. However, future behavior is inherently uncertain, and models of motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Ajay Jain , Sergio Casas , Renjie Liao , Yuwen Xiong , Song Feng , Sean Segal , Raquel Urtasun

We address one of the crucial aspects necessary for safe and efficient operations of autonomous vehicles, namely predicting future state of traffic actors in the autonomous vehicle's surroundings. We introduce a deep learning-based approach…

Vehicle route prediction is one of the significant tasks in vehicles mobility. It is one of the means to reduce the accidents and increase comfort in human life. The task of route prediction becomes simpler with the development of certain…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ali Nawaz , Attique Ur Rehman

Traditional approaches to prediction of future trajectory of road agents rely on knowing information about their past trajectory. This work rather relies only on having knowledge of the current state and intended direction to make…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Dekai Zhu , Qadeer Khan , Daniel Cremers

Uncertainty plays a key role in future prediction. The future is uncertain. That means there might be many possible futures. A future prediction method should cover the whole possibilities to be robust. In autonomous driving, covering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Adil Kaan Akan

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian