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In this work we propose a hierarchy of Monte Carlo methods for sampling equilibrium properties of stochastic lattice systems with competing short and long range interactions. Each Monte Carlo step is composed by two or more sub - steps…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G Vlachos

Independently estimating pixel values in Monte Carlo rendering results in a perceptually sub-optimal white-noise distribution of error in image space. Recent works have shown that perceptual fidelity can be improved significantly by…

Importance weighting is a general way to adjust Monte Carlo integration to account for draws from the wrong distribution, but the resulting estimate can be highly variable when the importance ratios have a heavy right tail. This routinely…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-12 Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman , Yuling Yao , Jonah Gabry

In this paper, we propose efficient importance sampling estimators to evaluate the outage probability of maximum ratio combining receivers over turbulence-induced fadings in underwater wireless optical channels. We consider two fading…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-25 Chaouki ben Issaid , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Earth Observation (EO) has traditionally involved the transmission of a large volume of raw data to map the Earth surface. This results in congestion to the satellite network and delays in the availability of the results, invalidating the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Antonio M. Mercado-Martínez , Beatriz Soret , Antonio Jurado-Navas

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

The maximum likelihood estimation is computationally demanding for large datasets, particularly when the likelihood function includes integrals. Subsampling can reduce the computational burden, but it often results in efficiency loss.This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang , Ruoyu Wang

This paper gives a replica analysis for the minimum mean square error (MSE) of a massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) system by using Bayesian inference. The Bayes-optimal estimator is adopted to estimate the data symbols and the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Chao-Kai Wen , Yongpeng Wu , Kai-Kit Wong , Robert Schober , Pangan Ting

In massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems, the knowledge of the users' channel covariance matrix is crucial for minimum mean square error (MMSE) channel estimation in the uplink as well as it plays an important role in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Tianyu Yang , Mahdi Barzegar Khalilsarai , Saeid Haghighatshoar , Giuseppe Caire

A simulation method based on the RG blocking is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than that of the crude MC using absolute values of the original measures. The new method is particularly suitable to apply to the sign problem of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-30 J. F. Markham , T. D. Kieu

Bayesian inference involves two main computational challenges. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the posterior distribution may well be highly multi-modal: a regime in which the convergence to stationarity of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-10 F. Feroz , M. P. Hobson , E. Cameron , A. N. Pettitt

The reliability of a complex industrial system can rarely be assessed analytically. As system failure is often a rare event, crude Monte-Carlo methods are prohibitively expensive from a computational point of view. In order to reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 H. Chraibi , A. Dutfoy , T. Galtier , J. Garnier

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon

In this paper we address the problem of rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. We propose a strongly efficient importance sampling algorithm that builds upon the sample path large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-17 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

The Multilevel Monte Carlo method is an efficient variance reduction technique. It uses a sequence of coarse approximations to reduce the computational cost in uncertainty quantification applications. The method is nowadays often considered…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo technique for efficiently estimating the likelihood of rare events by biasing the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By drawing weighted samples from a learned proposal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Liam A. Kruse , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The preferential sampling of locations chosen to observe a spatio-temporal process has been identified as a major problem across multiple fields. Predictions of the process can be severely biased when standard statistical methodologies are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Joe Watson

Monte Carlo is a simple and flexible tool that is widely used in computational finance. In this context, it is common for the quantity of interest to be the expected value of a random variable defined via a stochastic differential equation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Desmond J. Higham

Multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems will play a crucial role in future wireless communication, but improving their signal detection performance to increase transmission efficiency remains a challenge. To address this issue, we…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Junichiro Hagiwara , Kazushi Matsumura , Hiroki Asumi , Yukiko Kasuga , Toshihiko Nishimura , Takanori Sato , Yasutaka Ogawa , Takeo Ohgane

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is computationally intensive for complex model simulators. To exploit expensive simulations, data-resampling via bootstrapping can be employed to obtain many artificial datasets at little cost.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Umberto Picchini , Richard G. Everitt