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In this work, we investigate an optimization problem over adapted couplings between pairs of real valued random variables, possibly describing random times. We relate those couplings to a specific class of causal transport plans between…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Rémi Lassalle

Over the years data assimilation methods have been developed to obtain estimations of uncertain model parameters by taking into account a few observations of a model state. The most reliable methods of MCMC are computationally expensive.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-14 Sangeetika Ruchi , Svetlana Dubinkina

Bayesian filtering approximates the true underlying behavior of a time-varying system by inverting an explicit generative model to convert noisy measurements into state estimates. This process typically requires either storage, inversion,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 Gianluca M. Bencomo , Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

We present a new transport-based approach to efficiently perform sequential Bayesian inference of static model parameters. The strategy is based on the extraction of conditional distribution from the joint distribution of parameters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Paul-Baptiste Rubio , Youssef Marzouk , Matthew Parno

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) has been proposed as an efficient method for the approximate solution of Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward models. However, when applied to the Bayesian inverse problem EKI is only exact in the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-19 Richard D. P. Grumitt , Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

Many parameter estimation problems arising in applications are best cast in the framework of Bayesian inversion. This allows not only for an estimate of the parameters, but also for the quantification of uncertainties in the estimates.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Emmet Cleary , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Shiwei Lan , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M Stuart

Motivated by the computational difficulties incurred by popular deep learning algorithms for the generative modeling of temporal densities, we propose a cheap alternative which requires minimal hyperparameter tuning and scales favorably to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-13 Jonah Botvinick-Greenhouse , Yunan Yang , Romit Maulik

Trajectory optimization is a fundamental stochastic optimal control problem. This paper deals with a trajectory optimization approach for dynamical systems subject to measurement noise that can be fitted into linear time-varying stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Prakash Mallick , Zhiyong Chen

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are a powerful and commonly used family of numerical methods for sampling from complex probability distributions. As applications of these methods increase in size and complexity, the need for efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Colin Cotter , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell

Optimal transport is a geometrically intuitive, robust and flexible metric for sample comparison in data analysis and machine learning. Its formal Riemannian structure allows for a local linearization via a tangent space approximation. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Clément Sarrazin , Bernhard Schmitzer

Inverse scattering problems have many important applications. In this paper, given limited aperture data, we propose a Bayesian method for the inverse acoustic scattering to reconstruct the shape of an obstacle. The inverse problem is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Zhaoxiang Li , Zhiliang Deng , Jiguang Sun

We show that it is feasible to carry out exact Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian state space models using an adaptive Metropolis Hastings sampling scheme with the likelihood approximated by the particle filter. Furthermore, an adapyive…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-03 Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) proposals that achieve reasonable acceptance rates and mixing are notoriously difficult to design in most applications. Inspired by recent advances in deep neural network-based normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-28 Laurence Davies , Robert Salomone , Matthew Sutton , Christopher Drovandi

The adapted Wasserstein distance is a metric for quantifying distributional uncertainty and assessing the sensitivity of stochastic optimization problems on time series data. A computationally efficient alternative to it, is provided by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Beatrice Acciaio , Songyan Hou , Gudmund Pammer

We study the convergence of an $N$-particle Markovian controlled system to the solution of a family of stochastic McKean-Vlasov control problems, either with a finite horizon or Schr\"odinger type cost functional. Specifically, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Francesco C. De Vecchi , Chiara Rigoni

This paper investigates the connections between rectified flows, flow matching, and optimal transport. Flow matching is a recent approach to learning generative models by estimating velocity fields that guide transformations from a source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Johannes Hertrich , Antonin Chambolle , Julie Delon

In this work we are interested in the (ill-posed) inverse problem for absolute permeability characterization that arises in predictive modeling of porous media flows. We consider a Bayesian statistical framework with a preconditioned Markov…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Alsadig Ali , Abdullah Al-Mamun , Felipe Pereira , Arunasalam Rahunanthan

Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation, but it is generally only guaranteed to find its stationary points of the log-likelihood objective. The goal of this article is to present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu , Arian Maleki

We generalize the popular ensemble Kalman filter to an ensemble transform filter where the prior distribution can take the form of a Gaussian mixture or a Gaussian kernel density estimator. The design of the filter is based on a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Sebastian Reich

Many numerical and learning algorithms rely on the solution of the Monge-Kantorovich problem and Wasserstein distances, which provide appropriate distributional metrics. While the natural approach is to treat the problem as an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Mohsen Sadr , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Hossein Gorji