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Why are human societies unstable? Theories based on the observation of recurring patterns in historical data indicate that economic inequality, as well as social factors are key drivers. So far, models of this phenomenon are more…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-24 Alexander Jochim , Stefan Bornholdt

Cities are typical dynamic complex systems that connect people and facilitate interactions. Revealing universal collective patterns behind spatio-temporal interactions between residents is crucial for various urban studies, of which we are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-11 Chenxin Liu , Yu Yang , Bingsheng Chen , Tianyu Cui , Fan Shang , Jingfang Fan , Ruiqi Li

Since the first reported traffic jam about a century ago, traffic congestion has been intensively studied with various methods ranging from macroscopic to microscopic viewpoint. However, due to the population growth and fast civilization,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-05-24 Yinan Jiang , Rui Kang , Daqing Li , Shengmin Guo , Shlomo Havlin

Accurate estimation of the change in crime over time is a critical first step towards better understanding of public safety in large urban environments. Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural way to study spatial variation in urban…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Cecilia Balocchi , Sameer K. Deshpande , Edward I. George , Shane T. Jensen

Challenges due to the rapid urbanization of the world -- especially in emerging countries -- range from an increasing dependence on energy, to air pollution, socio-spatial inequalities, environmental and sustainability issues. Modelling the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-07 Marc Barthelemy

In this work, the spread of crime dynamics in the US is analyzed from a mathematical scope, an epidemiological model is established, including five compartments: Susceptible (S), Latent 1 (E1), Latent 2 (E2), Incarcerated (I), and Recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 Michael Aguadze , Ana Vivas , Sujan Pant , Kubilay Dagtoros

Power law distributions characterise several natural and social phenomena. The Zipf law for cities is one of those. The study views the question of whether that global regularity is independent of different spatial distributions of cities.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Rolf Bergs

The underlying reasons behind modern terrorism are seemingly complex and intangible. Despite diverse causal mechanisms, research has shown that there exists general statistical patterns at the global scale that can shed light on human…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Weisi Guo

The interaction of all mobile species with their environment hinges on their movement patterns: the places they visit and how frequently they go there. In human society, where the prevalent form of cohabitation is in cities, the highly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-17 Markus Schläpfer , Michael Szell , Hadrien Salat , Carlo Ratti , Geoffrey B. West

We study centrality in urban street patterns of different world cities represented as networks in geographical space. The results indicate that a spatial analysis based on a set of four centrality indices allows an extended visualization…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Paolo Crucitti , Vito Latora , Sergio Porta

We investigate the behavior of extended urban traffic networks within the framework of percolation theory by using real and synthetic traffic data. Our main focus shifts from the statistical properties of the cluster size distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-21 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

Motivated by recent findings that human mobility is proxy for crime behavior in big cities and that there is a superlinear relationship between the people's movement and crime, this article aims to evaluate the impact of how these findings…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-27 Carlos Caminha , Vasco Furtado

We view the locations and times of a collection of crime events as a space-time point pattern. So, with either a nonhomogeneous Poisson process or with a more general Cox process, we need to specify a space-time intensity. For the latter,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-29 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

This paper proposes a systems theory approach to the modeling of onset and evolution of criminality in a territory, which aims at capturing the complexity features of social systems. Complexity is related to the fact that individuals have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-28 N. Bellomo , F. Colasuonno , D. Knopoff , J. Soler

Understanding quantitative relationships between urban elements is crucial for a wide range of applications. The observation at the macroscopic level demonstrates that the aggregated urban quantities (e.g., gross domestic product) scale…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-26 Lei Dong , Zhou Huang , Jiang Zhang , Yu Liu

This study addresses the challenge of urban safety in New York City by examining the relationship between the built environment and crime rates using machine learning and a comprehensive dataset of street view images. We aim to identify how…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Zhixuan Qi , Huaiying Luo , Chen Chi

Human flourishing is often severely limited by persistent violence. Quantitative conflict research has found common temporal and other statistical patterns in warfare, but very little is understood about its general spatial patterns. While…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Weisi Guo , Xueke Lu , Guillem Mosquera Donate , Samuel Johnson

The existence and stability of localized patterns of criminal activity are studied for the reaction-diffusion model of urban crime that was introduced by Short et. al. [Math. Models. Meth. Appl. Sci., 18, Suppl. (2008), pp. 1249--1267].…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2012-01-17 Theodore Kolokolnikov , Michael Ward , Juncheng Wei

Cities are some of the most intricate and advanced creations of humanity. Most objects in cities are perfectly synchronised to coordinate activities such as jobs, education, transportation, entertainment, and waste management. Although each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-01 Rafael Prieto-Curiel

This paper focuses on finding spatial and temporal criminal hotspots. It analyses two different real-world crimes datasets for Denver, CO and Los Angeles, CA and provides a comparison between the two datasets through a statistical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Tahani Almanie , Rsha Mirza , Elizabeth Lor