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Sums of of 1-dependent integer-valued random variables are approximated by compound Poisson, negative binomial and Binomial distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. Estimates are obtained for total variation and local metrics.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-05 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

Non-uniform estimates are obtained for Poisson, compound Poisson, translated Poisson, negative binomial and binomial approximations to sums of of m-dependent integer-valued random variables. Estimates for Wasserstein metric also follow…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy , V. Cekanavicius

In this article, we consider Poisson and Poisson convoluted geometric approximation to the sums of $n$ independent random variables under moment conditions. We use Stein's method to derive the approximation results in total variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Pratima Eknath Kadu

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

We prove the Simons-Johnson theorem for the sums $S_n$ of $m$-dependent random variables, with exponential weights and limiting compound Poisson distribution $\CP(s,\lambda)$. More precisely, we give sufficient conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 V. Cekanavicius , P. Vellaisamy

Let $b(x)$ be the probability that a sum of independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters $p_1, p_2, p_3, \ldots \in [0,1)$ equals $x$, where $\lambda := p_1 + p_2 + p_3 + \cdots$ is finite. We prove two inequalities for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Lutz Duembgen , Jon A. Wellner

We consider the discrete three dimensional scan statistics. Viewed as the maximum of an 1-dependent stationary r.v.'s sequence, we provide approximations and error bounds for the probability distribution of the three dimensional scan…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-18 Alexandru Amarioarei , Cristian Preda

We explore negative dependence and stochastic orderings, showing that if an integer-valued random variable $W$ satisfies a certain negative dependence assumption, then $W$ is smaller (in the convex sense) than a Poisson variable of equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Fraser Daly

In this paper, we consider the sums of non-negative integer valued $m$-dependent random variables, and its approximation to the power series distribution. We first discuss some relevant results for power series distribution such as Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Amit N. Kumar , Neelesh S. Upadhye , P. Vellaisamy

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

This paper deals with Poisson approximation to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables using Stein's method. The derived result represents a significant improvement of existing results. To illustrate the effectiveness of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Pratima Eknath Kadu

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

As an application of Stein's method for Poisson approximation, we prove rates of convergence for the tail probabilities of two scan statistics that have been suggested for detecting local signals in sequences of independent random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Xiao Fang , David Siegmund

Poisson-like behavior for event count data is ubiquitous in nature. At the same time, differencing of such counts arises in the course of data processing in a variety of areas of application. As a result, the Skellam distribution -- defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 H. L. Gan , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

We give exponential upper bounds for $P(S \le k)$, in particular $P(S=0)$, where $S$ is a sum of indicator random variables that are positively associated. These bounds allow, in particular, a comparison with the independent case. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Matthias Löwe , Franck Vermet

The sum of symmetric Markov dependent three-point random variables is approximated by the difference of two independent Poisson random variables (Skellam random variable). The accuracy is estimated in local, total variation and Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Vydas Čekanavičius , Gabija Liaudanskaite

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-06 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah

Poisson approximation using Stein's method has been extensively studied in the literature. The main focus has been on bounding the total variation distance. This paper is a first attempt on moderate deviations in Poisson approximation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

Two new information-theoretic methods are introduced for establishing Poisson approximation inequalities. First, using only elementary information-theoretic techniques it is shown that, when $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ is the sum of the (possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Peter Harremoes , Oliver Johnson
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