Related papers: Thermal convection, ensemble weather forecasting a…
It is shown, using results of direct numerical simulations, laboratory experiments, measurements in the atmospheric boundary layer, satellite infrared radiances data, the planetary-scale surface-air and tropospheric data, that the…
Reliable prediction of large chaotic sytems in the short to middle time range is of interest in a number of fields, including climate, ecology, seismology, and economics. In this paper, results from chaos theory, and statistical theory are…
A thermal convection loop is a circular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, forming an…
Spatial buoyancy-helical distributed chaos (turbulence) in the cumulus, stratiform, stratocumulus, cirrus and cirrus mammatus clouds have been studied using results of direct numerical simulations and measurements in cloudy atmosphere. It…
Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…
It is shown, using direct numerical simulations and laboratory experiments data, that distributed chaos is often tuned to large scale coherent motions in anisotropic inhomogeneous turbulence. The examples considered are: fully developed…
Extreme near-surface moist heat and severe convective storms are among the leading causes of weather-related damages worldwide. Here, we show that episodes of extreme moist heat and severe convection frequently co-occur across midlatitude…
Understanding future changes in temperature variability and extremes is an important scientific challenge with societal impacts. Here the responses of daily near-surface temperature distributions to climate warming is explored using an…
Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…
We report experiments on defect-tracking in the state of undulation chaos observed in thermal convection of an inclined fluid layer. We characterize the ensemble of defect trajectories according to their velocities, relative positions,…
The surface air temperature daily records at the land-based locations with different climate conditions (from Arctic to Patagonia) have been studied on the daily to intraseasonal time scales (low frequency annual and seasonal variations…
Tropical precipitation extremes are expected to strengthen with warming, but quantitative estimates remain uncertain because of a poor understanding of changes in convective dynamics. This uncertainty is addressed here by analyzing…
Recent research has suggested that the overall dependence of convection near coasts on large-scale atmospheric conditions is weaker than over the open ocean or inland areas. This is due to the fact that in coastal regions convection is…
It is shown that distributed chaos with spontaneously broken time translational symmetry (homogeneity) has a stretched exponential frequency spectrum $E(f) \propto \exp-(f/f_0)^{1/2}$. Good agreement has been established with a laboratory…
The role of the moments of helicity distribution in rotating turbulence has been studied using the notion of helical distributed chaos. Results of the direct numerical simulations, laboratory experiments and geophysical observations have…
Understanding the dynamics of climate extreme is important in its prediction and modeling. In this study, linear trends in percentile, threshold, absolute, and duration based temperature and precipitation extremes indicator were obtained…
Temporal and spatio-temporal (turbulence) distributed chaos in B\'{e}nard-Marangoni and Rayleigh-B\'{e}nard convection have been studied using results of laboratory experiments and direct numerical simulations in the terms of effective…
Two types of spontaneous breaking of the space translational symmetry in distributed chaos have been considered for turbulent thermal convection at large values of Rayleigh number. First type is related to boundaries and second type is…
We study temporally persistent and spatially extended extreme events of temperature anomalies, i.e. heat waves and cold spells, using large deviation theory. To this end, we consider a simplified yet Earth-like general circulation model of…
It is shown that helicity dynamics dominates spectral distribution of the velocity fluctuations in turbulent thermal convection at moderate and large values of the Rayleigh number (distributed chaos and scaling respectively). The…