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We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

An interesting development in automatic visual recognition has been the emergence of tasks where it is not possible to assign objective labels to images, yet still feasible to collect annotations that reflect human judgements about them.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Derek S. Prijatelj , Mel McCurrie , Walter J. Scheirer

In many real-world strategic settings, people use information displays to make decisions. In these settings, an information provider chooses which information to provide to strategic agents and how to present it, and agents formulate a best…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Paula Kayongo , Glenn Sun , Jason Hartline , Jessica Hullman

This paper proposes a new general approach based on Bayesian networks to model the human behaviour. This approach represents human behaviour withprobabilistic cause-effect relations based not only on previous works, but also with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-10-08 Khadija Tijani , Dung Ngo , Stephane Ploix , Benjamin Haas , Julie Dugdale

Current theories of perception suggest that the brain represents features of the world as probability distributions, but can such uncertain foundations provide the basis for everyday vision? Perceiving objects and scenes requires knowing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-30 Andrey Chetverikov , Árni Kristjánsson

Visualization as a discipline often grapples with generalization by reasoning about how study results on the efficacy of a tool in one context might apply to another context. This work offers an account of the logic of generalization in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Alex Kale

Data visualizations are vital to scientific communication on critical issues such as public health, climate change, and socioeconomic policy. They are often designed not just to inform, but to persuade people to make consequential decisions…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Doug Markant , Milad Rogha , Alireza Karduni , Ryan Wesslen , Wenwen Dou

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Traditional belief revision frameworks often rely on the principle of minimalism, which advocates minimal changes to existing beliefs. However, research in human cognition suggests that people are inherently driven to seek explanations for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Stylianos Loukas Vasileiou , William Yeoh

Motivated reasoning posits that people distort how they process information in the direction of beliefs they find attractive. This paper creates a novel experimental design to identify motivated reasoning from Bayesian updating when people…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-26 Michael Thaler

Knowledge of human perception has long been incorporated into visualizations to enhance their quality and effectiveness. The last decade, in particular, has shown an increase in perception-based visualization research studies. With all of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Ghulam Jilani Quadri , Paul Rosen

Graphical perception studies typically measure visualization encoding effectiveness using the error of an "average observer", leading to canonical rankings of encodings for numerical attributes: e.g., position > area > angle > volume. Yet…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Russell Davis , Xiaoying Pu , Yiren Ding , Brian D. Hall , Karen Bonilla , Mi Feng , Matthew Kay , Lane Harrison

Computer Vision (CV) has achieved remarkable results, outperforming humans in several tasks. Nonetheless, it may result in significant discrimination if not handled properly as CV systems highly depend on the data they are fed with and can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Simone Fabbrizzi , Symeon Papadopoulos , Eirini Ntoutsi , Ioannis Kompatsiaris

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems power the world we live in. Deep neural networks (DNNs) are able to solve tasks in an ever-expanding landscape of scenarios, but our eagerness to apply these powerful models leads us to focus on their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Loris Giulivi , Mark James Carman , Giacomo Boracchi

Research on cognitive biases and heuristics has become increasingly popular in the visualization literature in recent years. Researchers have studied the effects of biases on visualization interpretation and subsequent decision-making.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Ali Baigelenov , Prakash Shukla , Zixu Zhang , Paul Parsons

We tested whether and how biases in visual perception might influence motor actions. To do so, we designed an interception task in which subjects had to indicate the time when a moving object, whose trajectory was occluded, would reach a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-11 Alexander Tank , Alan A. Stocker

Humans can learn languages from remarkably little experience. Developing computational models that explain this ability has been a major challenge in cognitive science. Bayesian models that build in strong inductive biases - factors that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-25 R. Thomas McCoy , Thomas L. Griffiths

Opinion Dynamics lacks a theoretical basis. In this article, I propose to use a decision-theoretic framework, based on the updating of subjective probabilities, as that basis. We will see we get a basic tool for a better understanding of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-21 Andre C. R. Martins

Many multiagent applications require an agent to learn quickly how to interact with previously unknown other agents. To address this problem, researchers have studied learning algorithms which compute posterior beliefs over a hypothesised…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Stefano V. Albrecht , Jacob W. Crandall , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

In this paper, we are concerned with attributing meaning to the results of a Bayesian analysis for a problem which is sufficiently complex that we are unable to assert a precise correspondence between the expert probabilistic judgements of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Daniel Williamson , Michael Goldstein
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