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A recent approach based on Bayesian inverse planning for the "theory of mind" has shown good performance in modeling human cognition. However, perfect inverse planning differs from human cognition during one kind of complex tasks due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Ryo Nakahashi , Seiji Yamada

Discovering causal relationships is a hard task, often hindered by the need for intervention, and often requiring large amounts of data to resolve statistical uncertainty. However, humans quickly arrive at useful causal relationships. One…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-01 Pedro A. Ortega

While perception tasks such as visual object recognition and text understanding play an important role in human intelligence, the subsequent tasks that involve inference, reasoning and planning require an even higher level of intelligence.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-06 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

The idea that the brain is a probabilistic (Bayesian) inference machine, continuously trying to figure out the hidden causes of its inputs, has become very influential in cognitive (neuro)science over recent decades. Here I present a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-15 Eelke Spaak

A myriad of explainability methods have been proposed in recent years, but there is little consensus on how to evaluate them. While automatic metrics allow for quick benchmarking, it isn't clear how such metrics reflect human interaction…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Ana Valeria Gonzalez , Anna Rogers , Anders Søgaard

When an analyst or scientist has a belief about how the world works, their thinking can be biased in favor of that belief. Therefore, one bedrock principle of science is to minimize that bias by testing the predictions of one's belief…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Cindy Xiong , Chase Stokes , Yea-Seul Kim , Steven Franconeri

Machine learning has made major advances in categorizing objects in images, yet the best algorithms miss important aspects of how people learn and think about categories. People can learn richer concepts from fewer examples, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Brenden M. Lake , Steven T. Piantadosi

Developments in data visualization research have enabled visualization systems to achieve great general usability and application across a variety of domains. These advancements have improved not only people's understanding of data, but…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Zhengliang Liu , R. Jordan Crouser , Alvitta Ottley

A comprehensive artificial intelligence system needs to not only perceive the environment with different `senses' (e.g., seeing and hearing) but also infer the world's conditional (or even causal) relations and corresponding uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-07 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

As AI systems advance beyond human capabilities, scalable oversight becomes critical: how can we supervise AI that exceeds our abilities? A key challenge is that human evaluators may form incorrect beliefs about AI behavior in complex…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Leon Lang , Patrick Forré

People act upon their desires, but often, also act in adherence to implicit social norms. How do people infer these unstated social norms from others' behavior, especially in novel social contexts? We propose that laypeople have intuitive…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Zhi-Xuan Tan , Desmond C. Ong

Information Visualization techniques are built on a context with many factors related to both vision and cognition, making it difficult to draw a clear picture of how data visually turns into comprehension. In the intent of promoting a…

Graphics · Computer Science 2016-05-16 Jose Rodrigues-Jr , Luciana Zaina , Maria Oliveira , Bruno Brandoli , Agma Traina

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as agents that interact with users and with the world. To do so successfully, LLMs must construct representations of the world and form probabilistic beliefs about them. To provide…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Linlu Qiu , Fei Sha , Kelsey Allen , Yoon Kim , Tal Linzen , Sjoerd van Steenkiste

Several recently proposed methods aim to learn conceptual space representations from large text collections. These learned representations asso- ciate each object from a given domain of interest with a point in a high-dimensional Euclidean…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Zied Bouraoui , Steven Schockaert

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

Understanding how individuals interpret charts is a crucial concern for visual data communication. This imperative has motivated a number of studies, including past work demonstrating that causal priors -- a priori beliefs about causal…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Arran Zeyu Wang , David Borland , Estella Calcaterra , David Gotz

Being able to correctly aggregate the beliefs of many people into a single belief is a problem fundamental to many important social, economic and political processes such as policy making, market pricing and voting. Although there exist…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Dhaval Adjodah , Yan Leng , Shi Kai Chong , Peter Krafft , Alex Pentland

Pre-trained vision language models still fall short of human visual cognition. In an effort to improve visual cognition and align models with human behavior, we introduce visual stimuli and human judgments on visual cognition tasks,…

A key step in the Bayesian workflow for model building is the graphical assessment of model predictions, whether these are drawn from the prior or posterior predictive distribution. The goal of these assessments is to identify whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Teemu Säilynoja , Andrew R. Johnson , Osvaldo A. Martin , Aki Vehtari