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Compartmental models like the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)\cite{Kermack1927} and its extensions such as the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIRS)\cite{Ottar2020,Ignazio2021,Grimm2021,Paoluzzi2021} are commonly used to model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-14 Kasturi Banerjee , Subhankar Ray , Jayalakshmi Shamanna

Cities have long served as nucleating centers for human development and advancement. Cities have facilitated the spread of both human creativity and human disease, and at the same time, efforts to minimize the spread of disease have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-10 Harold M Hastings , Tai Young-Taft

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic. It derives moment conditions for the number of infected and active cases for single as well as multigroup epidemic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-05 M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang

In this short note we model the region-wise trends of the evolution to COVID-19 infections using a stochastic SIR model. The SIR dynamics are expressed using \textit{It\^o-stochastic differential equations}. We first derive the parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-17 Ashutosh Simha , R. Venkatesha Prasad , Sujay Narayana

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

As global living standards improve and medical technology advances, many infectious diseases have been effectively controlled. However, certain diseases, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose significant threats to public…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Ayesha Baig , Li Zhouxin

This paper investigates a behavioral-feedback SIR model in which the infection rate adapts dynamically based on the fractions of susceptible and infected individuals. We introduce an invariant of motion and we characterize the peak of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-17 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

Water-borne diseases are still a major public health concern, as there are circumstances under which water could act as a carrier of the pathogen, extending their modeling beyond direct contact between hosts. In the present work, we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Mohamed Mehdaoui , Yassine Ouzrour

The existence and local stability of some non-negative equilibrium points of a class of SIRS infectious disease models with non-linear infection and treatment rates are investigated under the condition that the total population is a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Mengqi Tan

We introduce and investigate an SIS-type model for the spread of an infectious disease, where the infected population is structured with respect to the different strain of the virus/bacteria they are carrying. Our aim is to capture the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Àngel Calsina , József Z. Farkas

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

Complex networks with pairwise connections have been vastly used for the modeling of interactions within systems. Although these type of models are capable to capture rich structures and different phases within a great variety of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Gerardo Palafox-Castillo , Arturo Berrones-Santos

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

Yet often neglected, dynamical interdependencies between concomitant contagion processes can alter their intrinsic equilibria and bifurcations. A particular case of interest for disease control is the emergence of explosive transitions in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-04 Santiago Lamata-Otín , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , David Soriano-Paños

We study the Suscectible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemic model on deterministic networks. For connected but otherwise general interaction patterns and heterogeneous recovery and loss-of-immunity rates, we identify a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Giulia Gatti , Giacomo Como

In this study, we develop and analyze a nested multi-scale model for COVID -19 disease that integrates within-host scale and between-host scale sub-models. First, the well-posedness of the multi-scale model is discussed, followed by the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Bishal Chhetri , D. K. K Vamsi , Carani Sanjeevi

While conventional graphs only characterize pairwise interactions, higher-order networks (hypergraph, simplicial complex) capture multi-body interactions, which is a potentially more suitable modeling framework for a complex real system.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Shaoxuan Cui , Fangzhou Liu , Hildeberto Jardón-Kojakhmetov , Ming Cao

The main aim of the work is to present a general class of two time scales discrete-time epidemic models. In the proposed framework the disease dynamics is considered to act on a slower time scale than a second different process that could…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

In this study, we develop the mathematical model to understand the coupling between the spreading dynamics of infectious diseases and the mobility dynamics through urban transportation systems. We first describe the mobility dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri