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An epidemic model with births and deaths is considered on a two dimensional LxL lattice. Each individual can have global infective contacts according to the standard SIR model rules or local infective contacts with its nearest neighbors. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Alberto Maltz , Gabriel Fabricius

The SIR model is one of the most prototypical compartmental models in epidemiology. Generalizing this ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework into a spatially distributed partial differential equation (PDE) model is a considerable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-11 Su Yang , Weiqi Chu , Panayotis Kevrekidis

The results of Kermack-McKendrick SIR model are planned to be reproduced by cellular automata (CA) lattice model. The CA algorithms are proposed to study the model of epidemic, systematically. The basic goal is to capture the effects of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-30 Agniva Datta , Muktish Acharyya

This paper is concerned with the growth rate of SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) epidemics with general infectious period distribution on random intersection graphs. This type of graph is characterized by the presence of cliques…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Carolina Fransson

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

We revisit well-established concepts of epidemiology, the Ising-model, and percolation theory. Also, we employ a spin $S$ = 1/2 Ising-like model and a (logistic) Fermi-Dirac-like function to describe the spread of Covid-19. Our analysis…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Isys F. Mello , Lucas Squillante , Gabriel O. Gomes , Antonio C. Seridonio , M. de Souza

In the standard SIR model, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\lambda$ independently across each edge. They also recover at rate $\gamma$. In this work we consider the SIR-$\omega$ model where the graph structure itself…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Wenze Chen , Yuewen Hou , Dong Yao

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

Contact networks can significantly change the course of epidemics, affecting the rate of new infections and the mean size of an outbreak. Despite this dependence, some characteristics of epidemics are not contingent on the contact network…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alexander Gutfraind

We study the dimer model on special subgraphs of the square hexagon lattice called "tower graphs" of size $N$. Using integrable probability techniques, we confirm that as $N \rightarrow \infty$, the local statistics are translation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-11-29 Matthew Nicoletti

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

We consider the $SEIRS$ epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Jaroslav Ilnytskyi , Taras Patsahan

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We present an exact analytical solution to a one-dimensional model of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic type, with infection rates dependent on nearest-neighbor occupations. We use a quantum mechanical approach, transforming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 H. Thomas Williams , Irina Mazilu , Dan Mazilu

We develop a new perturbation method for studying quasi-neutral competition in a broad class of stochastic competition models, and apply it to the analysis of fixation of competing strains in two epidemic models. The first model is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-06 Oleg Kogan , Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , David Schneider , Christopher R. Myers

Among the consequences of the disordered interaction topology underlying many social, techno- logical and biological systems, a particularly important one is that some nodes, just because of their position in the network, may have a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-29 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) models of epidemics, with possibly time-varying rates, on a class of networks that are locally tree-like, which includes sparse…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Juniper Cocomello , Kavita Ramanan

In this paper, we study the dynamics of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model on a network with community structure, namely the stochastic block model (SBM). As usual, the SIR model is a stochastic model for an epidemic where…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Christian Borgs , Karissa Huang , Christian Ikeokwu
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