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A record is an entry in a time series that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. If the time series consists of independent, identically distributed random variables with a superimposed linear trend, record events are positively…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 J. Franke , G. Wergen , J. Krug

We introduce a general class of continuous univariate distributions with positive support obtained by transforming the class of two-piece distributions. We show that this class of distributions is very flexible, easy to implement, and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-06 Francisco J. Rubio , Yili Hong

Taylor's law, also known as fluctuation scaling in physics and the power-law variance function in statistics, is an empirical pattern widely observed across fields including ecology, physics, finance, and epidemiology. It states that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Pok Him Cheng , Joel E. Cohen , Hok Kan Ling , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

There are two kinds of Tsallis-probability distributions: heavy tail ones and compact support distributions. We show here, appealing to functional analysis' tools, that for lower bound Hamiltonians only the first type guarantees a maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-16 A. Plastino , M. C. Rocca

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

In this work, a general definition of Convolution between two arbitrary Tempered Ultradistributions is given. When one of the Tempered Ultradistributions is rapidly decreasing this definition coincides with the definition of J. Sebastiao e…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 C. G. Bollini , T. Escobar , M. C. Rocca

Levy flights in the space of mutations model time evolution of bacterial DNA. Parameters in the model are adjusted in order to fit observations coming from the Long Time Evolution Experiment with E. Coli.

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-24 Augusto Gonzalez

We discuss non-Gaussian random matrices whose elements are random variables with heavy-tailed probability distributions. In probability theory heavy tails of the distributions describe rare but violent events which usually have dominant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-08 Z. Burda , J. Jurkiewicz

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li

We define a product of algebraic probability spaces equipped with two states. This product is called a conditionally monotone product. This product is a new example of independence in non-commutative probability theory and unifies the…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Takahiro Hasebe

We introduce a large and flexible class of discrete tempered stable distributions, and analyze the domains of attraction for both this class and the related class of positive tempered stable distributions. Our results suggest that these are…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Michael Grabchak

The long-tail phenomenon tells us that there are many items in the tail. However, not all tail items are the same. Each item acquires different kinds of users. Some items are loved by the general public, while some items are consumed by…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-09-29 Chanyoung Park , Songkuk Kim

Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent variance-gamma random variables with zero location parameter; then the exact probability density function of the product $XY$ is derived. Some basic distributional properties are also derived, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Robert E. Gaunt , Siqi Li

Condensation is the phenomenon whereby one of a sum of random variables contributes a finite fraction to the sum. It is manifested as an aggregation phenomenon in diverse physical systems such as coalescence in granular media, jamming in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-20 Juraj Szavits-Nossan , Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

Let $S_n$ be the sum of independent random variables with distribution $F$. Under the assumption that $-\log(1-F(x))$ is slowly varying, conditions for $$ \lim_{n\to\infty}\sup_{s\ge t_n}\left|{P[S_n>s]\over n(1-F(s))}-1\right| =0 $$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Daren B. H. Cline , Tailen Hsing

We extend the construction principle of phase-type (PH) distributions to allow for inhomogeneous transition rates and show that this naturally leads to direct probabilistic descriptions of certain transformations of PH distributions. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Hansjörg Albrecher , Mogens Bladt

Regular variation is often used as the starting point for modeling multivariate heavy-tailed data. A random vector is regularly varying if and only if its radial part $R$ is regularly varying and is asymptotically independent of the angular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

How to estimate the uncertainty of a given model is a crucial problem. Current calibration techniques treat different classes equally and thus implicitly assume that the distribution of training data is balanced, but ignore the fact that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Jiahao Chen , Bing Su

Recent theoretical studies have shown that heavy-tails can emerge in stochastic optimization due to `multiplicative noise', even under surprisingly simple settings, such as linear regression with Gaussian data. While these studies have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Yuanhan Hu , Umut Simsekli , Kun Yuan , Lingjiong Zhu

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb