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Related papers: The i3+3 Design for Phase I Clinical Trials

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This paper proposes a novel criterion for the allocation of patients in Phase~I dose-escalation clinical trials aiming to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). Conventionally, using a model-based approach the next patient is allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

In the development of new cancer treatment, an essential step is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) via phase I clinical trials. Generally speaking, phase I trial designs can be classified as either model-based or algorithm-based…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-02 Huaqing Jin , Wenbin Du , Guosheng Yin

Conventionally, a first-in-human phase I trial in healthy volunteers aims to confirm the safety of a drug in humans. In such situations, volunteers should not suffer from any safety issues and simple algorithm-based dose-escalation schemes…

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

The keyboard design is a novel phase I dose-finding method that is simple and has good operating characteristics. This paper studies theoretical properties of the keyboard design, including the optimality of its decision rules, coherence in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Haitao Pan , Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Interval designs are a class of phase I trial designs for which the decision of dose assignment is determined by comparing the observed toxicity rate at the current dose with a prespecified (toxicity tolerance) interval. If the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-20 Suyu Liu , Ying Yuan

For many years Phase I and Phase II clinical trials were conducted separately, but there was a recent shift to combine these Phases. While a variety of Phase~I/II model-based designs for cytotoxic agents were proposed in the literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

Clinical trials are an integral component of medical research. Trials require careful design to, for example, maintain the safety of participants, use resources efficiently and allow clinically meaningful conclusions to be drawn. Adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 James M. McGree , Antony M. Overstall , Mark Jones , Robert K. Mahar

Background: Well-designed phase II trials must have acceptable error rates relative to a pre-specified success criterion, usually a statistically significant p-value. Such standard designs may not always suffice from a clinical perspective…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-10 Satrajit Roychoudhury , Nicolas Scheuer , Beat Neuenschwander

Clinical trials constitute a critical yet exceptionally challenging and costly stage of drug development (\$2.6B per drug), where protocols are encoded as complex natural language documents, motivating the use of AI systems beyond manual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Sixue Xing , Kerui Wu , Xuanye Xia , Meng Jiang , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Background: Drug development is often inefficient, costly and lengthy, yet it is essential for evaluating the safety and efficacy of new interventions. Compared with other disease areas, this is particularly true for Phase II / III cancer…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-13 Abigail Burdon , Thomas Jaki , Xijin Chen , Pavel Mozgunov , Haiyan Zheng , Richard Baird

We propose a two-stage design for a clinical trial with an early stopping rule for safety. We use different criteria to assess early stopping and efficacy. The early stopping rule is based on a criteria that can be determined more quickly…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-25 Daniel Zelterman

The primary objective of phase I cancer clinical trials is to evaluate the safety of a new experimental treatment and to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). We show that the MTD estimation problem can be regarded as a level set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Keiichiro Seno , Kota Matsui , Shogo Iwazaki , Yu Inatsu , Shion Takeno , Shigeyuki Matsui

Dose-escalation trials in oncology drug development still today typically aim to identify 1-size-fits-all dose recommendations, as arbitrary quantiles of the toxicity thresholds evident in patient samples. In the late 1990s efforts to…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-03 David C. Norris

Incorporating historical data or real-world evidence has a great potential to improve the efficiency of phase I clinical trials and to accelerate drug development. For model-based designs, such as the continuous reassessment method (CRM),…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Yanhong Zhou , J. Jack Lee , Shunguang Wang , Stuart Bailey , Ying Yuan

Three-dimensional medical image data and computer-aided decision making, particularly using deep learning, are becoming increasingly important in the medical field. To aid in these developments we introduce PR3DICTR: Platform for Research…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Daniel C. MacRae , Luuk van der Hoek , Robert van der Wal , Suzanne P. M. de Vette , Hendrike Neh , Baoqiang Ma , Peter M. A. van Ooijen , Lisanne V. van Dijk

Phase I clinical trials are designed to test the safety (non-toxicity) of drugs and find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). This task becomes significantly more challenging when multiple-drug dose-combinations (DC) are involved, due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Hyun-Suk Lee , Cong Shen , William Zame , Jang-Won Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

Decision rules offer a rich and tractable framework for solving certain classes of multistage adaptive optimization problems. Recent literature has shown the promise of using linear and nonlinear decision rules in which wait-and-see…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Said Rahal , Dimitri J. Papageorgiou , Zukui Li

The primary goal of a two-stage Phase I/II trial is to identify the optimal dose for the following large-scale Phase III trial. Recently, Phase I dose-finding designs have shifted from identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Hao Sun , Jerry Li

When the early stopping parameter n.earlystop is relatively small or the cohortsize value is not optimized via simulation, it may be better to use p.tox < 1.4 * target.DLT.rate, or try out different cohort sizes, or increase n.earlystop,…

Medical Physics · Physics 2024-03-18 Rong Lu