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In a typical stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, the objective is often to maximize the expected sum of rewards over some time horizon $T$. While the choice of a strategy that accomplishes that is optimal with no additional information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Reda Alami , Mohammed Mahfoud , Mastane Achab

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

In this paper, we propose a Risk-Averse Priced Timed Automata (PTA) Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework to increase flexibility of cyber-physical systems. To improve flexibility in these systems, our risk-averse framework solves a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Mostafa Tavakkoli Anbarani , Efe C. Balta , Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ilya Kovalenko

In this paper we present a risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) scheme for the operation of islanded microgrids with very high share of renewable energy sources. The proposed scheme mitigates the effect of errors in the determination…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Christian A. Hans , Pantelis Sopasakis , Jörg Raisch , Carsten Reincke-Collon , Panagiotis Patrinos

We study the problem of policy repair for learning-based control policies in safety-critical settings. We consider an architecture where a high-performance learning-based control policy (e.g. one trained as a neural network) is paired with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Weichao Zhou , Ruihan Gao , BaekGyu Kim , Eunsuk Kang , Wenchao Li

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

In this paper, we present performance estimates for stochastic economic MPC schemes with risk-averse cost formulations. For MPC algorithms with costs given by the expectation of stage cost evaluated in random variables, it was recently…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Michael H. Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

Solving chance-constrained optimal control problems for systems subject to non-stationary uncertainties is a significant challenge.Conventional robust model predictive control (MPC) often yields excessive conservatism by relying on static…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Mingcong Li

In this work, we address risk-averse Bayes-adaptive reinforcement learning. We pose the problem of optimising the conditional value at risk (CVaR) of the total return in Bayes-adaptive Markov decision processes (MDPs). We show that a policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Marc Rigter , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

We introduce a general framework for measuring risk in the context of Markov control processes with risk maps on general Borel spaces that generalize known concepts of risk measures in mathematical finance, operations research and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-27 Yun Shen , Wilhelm Stannat , Klaus Obermayer

We extend the classical risk minimization model with scalar risk measures to the general case of set-valued risk measures. The problem we obtain is a set-valued optimization model and we propose a goal programming-based approach with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-20 Davide La Torre , Marco Maggis

We consider the setting of iterative learning control, or model-based policy learning in the presence of uncertain, time-varying dynamics. In this setting, we propose a new performance metric, planning regret, which replaces the standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Naman Agarwal , Elad Hazan , Anirudha Majumdar , Karan Singh

Machine learning applications frequently come with multiple diverse objectives and constraints that can change over time. Accordingly, trained models can be tuned with sets of hyper-parameters that affect their predictive behavior (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Bracha Laufer-Goldshtein , Adam Fisch , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

This paper addresses risk awareness of stochastic optimization problems. Nested risk measures appear naturally in this context, as they allow beneficial reformulations for algorithmic treatments. The reformulations presented extend usual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

Inverse classification, the process of making meaningful perturbations to a test point such that it is more likely to have a desired classification, has previously been addressed using data from a single static point in time. Such an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Michael T. Lash , W. Nick Street

The growing amount of fluctuating renewable infeeds and market liberalization increases uncertainty in power system operation. To capture the influence of fluctuations in operational planning, we model the forecast errors of the uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-26 Line Roald , Frauke Oldewurtel , Bart Van Parys , Göran Andersson

Systemic risk is concerned with the instability of a financial system whose members are interdependent in the sense that the failure of a few institutions may trigger a chain of defaults throughout the system. Recently, several systemic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Çağın Ararat , Nurtai Meimanjan

In this research, starting from a widely accepted definition of risk, we support the idea that risk reduction is a more realistic objective than risk minimization, which represents a theoretical utopia. Furthermore, significant risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Pierpaolo Uberti