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Continuously-observed event occurrences, often exhibit self- and mutually-exciting effects, which can be well modeled using temporal point processes. Beyond that, these event dynamics may also change over time, with certain periodic trends.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sikun Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Extreme value (EV) statistics of correlated systems are widely investigated in many fields, spanning the spectrum from weather forecasting to earthquake prediction. Does the unavoidable discrete sampling of a continuous correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-29 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We focus on emergence of the power-law cross-correlations from processes with both short and long term memory properties. In the case of correlated error-terms, the power-law decay of the cross-correlation function comes automatically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Ladislav Kristoufek

Deep Learning is becoming increasingly relevant in Embedded and Internet-of-things applications. However, deploying models on embedded devices poses a challenge due to their resource limitations. This can impact the model's inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Max Sponner , Lorenzo Servadei , Bernd Waschneck , Robert Wille , Akash Kumar

Recent literature proposes combining short-term experimental and long-term observational data to provide alternatives to conventional observational studies for the identification of long-term average treatment effects (LTEs). This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-20 Filip Obradović

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

We study the intermittent dynamics and the fluctuations of the dynamic correlation function of a simple aging system. Given its size $L$ and its coherence length $\xi$, the system can be divided into $N$ independent subsystems, where…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 Estelle Pitard

The time evolution of correlation functions in statistical systems is described by an exact functional differential equation for the corresponding generating functionals. This allows for a systematic discussion of non-equilibrium physics…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-30 Christof Wetterich

Temporal relation classification is the task of determining the temporal relation between pairs of temporal entities in a text. Despite recent advancements in natural language processing, temporal relation classification remains a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Hugo Sousa , Ricardo Campos , Alípio Jorge

We study the effect on the distribution of return periods of rare events of the presence in a time series of finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, we analyze the auto-correlation function and the statistics of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Cecilia Pennetta , Eleonora Alfinito

Sequences with low aperiodic autocorrelation are used in communications and remote sensing for synchronization and ranging. The autocorrelation demerit factor of a sequence is the sum of the squared magnitudes of its autocorrelation values…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Daniel J. Katz , Miriam E. Ramirez

In multivariate longitudinal studies, associations between outcomes often exhibit time-varying and individual level heterogeneity, motivating the modeling of correlations as an explicit function of time and covariates. However, most…

Temporal networks are increasingly being used to model the interactions of complex systems. Most studies require the temporal aggregation of edges (or events) into discrete time steps to perform analysis. In this article we describe a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Andrew Mellor

Elementary algebraic constraints on the form of an autocorrelation function C(tw+t,tw)=<A(tw+t)A(tw)> rule out some two-time scalings found in the literature as possible long-time asymptotic forms. The same argument leads to the realization…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jorge Kurchan

For a uniform process $\{ X_t: t\in E\}$ (by which $X_t $ is uniformly distributed on $(0,1)$ for $t\in E$) and a function $w(x)>0$ on $(0,1)$, we give a sufficient condition for the weak convergence of the empirical process based on $\{…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Yuping Yang

Dynamical correlations of the spin and the energy density are investigated in the critical region of the random transverse-field Ising chain by numerically exact calculations in large finite systems (L<=128). The spin-spin autocorrelation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 H. Rieger , F. Igloi

We examine the long-term asymptotic behavior of dissipating solutions to aggregation equations and Patlak-Keller-Segel models with degenerate power-law and linear diffusion. The purpose of this work is to identify when solutions decay to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-03-29 Jacob Bedrossian

Correlation matrices are a standard tool in the analysis of the time evolution of complex systems in general and financial markets in particular. Yet most analysis assume stationarity of the underlying time series. This tends to be an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-09-11 Vinayak , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas H. Seligman

Interventional effects have been proposed as a solution to the unidentifiability of natural (in)direct effects under mediator-outcome confounders affected by the exposure. Such confounders are an intrinsic characteristic of studies with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Iván Díaz , Nicholas Williams , Kara E. Rudolph

In modeling multivariate time series for either forecast or policy analysis, it would be beneficial to have figured out the cause-effect relations within the data. Regression analysis, however, is generally for correlation relation, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-23 Xingwei Hu
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