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The class of multivariate L\'{e}vy-driven autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes, the continuous-time analogs of the classical vector ARMA processes, is shown to be equivalent to the class of continuous-time state space models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Scaling properties of time series are usually studied in terms of the scaling laws of empirical moments, which are the time average estimates of moments of the dynamic variable. Nonlinearities in the scaling function of empirical moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

Auto-regressive conditionally heteroskedastic (ARCH) family models are still used, by practitioners in business and economic policy making, as a conditional volatility forecasting models. Furthermore ARCH models still are attracting an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-24 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Julius Ruseckas

In this paper continuous time random walk models approximating fractional space-time diffusion processes are studied. Stochastic processes associated with the considered equations represent time-changed processes, where the time-change…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Sabir Umarov

We consider SDEs driven by multiplicative pure jump L\'{e}vy noises, where L\'evy processes are not necessarily comparable to $\alpha$-stable-like processes. By assuming that the SDE has a unique solution, we obtain gradient estimates of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Mingjie Liang , Jian Wang

For point patterns observed in natura, spatial heterogeneity is more the rule than the exception. In numerous applications, this can be mathematically handled by the flexible class of log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs); in brief, a LGCP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Jiří Dvořák , Jesper Møller , Tomáš Mrkvička , Samuel Soubeyrand

Volatility clustering is an important characteristic that has a significant effect on the behavior of stock markets. However, designing robust models for accurate prediction of future volatilities of stock prices is a very challenging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-11 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab , Abhishek Dutta

To deal with time-varying processor availability and lossy communication channels in embedded and networked control systems, one can employ an event-triggered sequence-based anytime control (E-SAC) algorithm. The main idea of E-SAC is, when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Thuy V. Dang , K. V. Ling , D. E. Quevedo

Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is commonly modeled as a Langevin process, assuming that minibatch noise acts as Brownian motion. However, this approximation relies on a continuous-time limit and a sqrt(eta) noise scaling that does not…

Linear Time Periodic (LTP) framework-based analysis of Voltage Source Converters (VSCs) is becoming popular, a driven factor is that many of the existing VSC applications inevitably exhibit the periodic steady-state (PSS), e.g., VSCs with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-06 Chen Zhang , Jon Are Suul , Marta Molinas

This paper studies high-dimensional curve time series with common stochastic trends. A dual functional factor model structure is adopted with a high-dimensional factor model for the observed curve time series and a low-dimensional factor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Degui Li , Yu-Ning Li , Peter C. B. Phillips

LSST is expected to yield ~10^7 light curves over the course of its mission, which will require a concerted effort in automated classification. Stochastic processes provide one means of quantitatively describing variability with the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-26 J. C. Zinn , C. S. Kochanek , S. Kozłowski , A. Udalski , M. K. Szymański , I. Soszyński , Ł. Wyrzykowski , K. Ulaczyk , R. Poleski , P. Pietrukowicz , J. Skowron , P. Mróz , M. Pawlak

We consider processes with second order long range dependence resulting from heavy tailed durations. We refer to this phenomenon as duration-driven long range dependence (DDLRD), as opposed to the more widely studied linear long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Meng-Chen Hsieh , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

We propose a new model for nonstationary integer-valued time series which is particularly suitable for data with a strong trend. In contrast to popular Poisson-INGARCH models, but in line with classical GARCH models, we propose to pick the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

Recent applications (e.g. active gels and self-assembly of elastic sheets) motivate the need to efficiently simulate the dynamics of thin elastic sheets. We present semi-implicit time stepping algorithms to improve the time step constraints…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-23 Silas Alben , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Donghak Kim , Robert D. Deegan

This paper introduces a continuous-time stochastic dynamical framework for understanding how large language models (LLMs) may self-amplify latent biases or toxicity through their own chain-of-thought reasoning. The model posits an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jack David Carson

We are interested in understanding stability (almost sure boundedness) of stochastic approximation algorithms (SAs) driven by a `controlled Markov' process. Analyzing this class of algorithms is important, since many reinforcement learning…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Arunselvan Ramaswamy , Shalabh Bhatnagar

In this article we consider the Levy processes and the corresponding semigroup. We represent the generator of this semigroup in a convolution form. Using the obtained convolution form and the theory of integral equations we investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Lev Sakhnovich

It is known that the transition probabilities of a solution to a classical It\^o stochastic differential equation (SDE) satisfy in the weak sense the associated Kolmogorov equation. The Kolmogorov equation is a partial differential equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-24 Marjorie G. Hahn , Kei Kobayashi , Sabir Umarov
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