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We demonstrate that the forecasting combination puzzle is a consequence of the methodology commonly used to produce forecast combinations. By the combination puzzle, we refer to the empirical finding that predictions formed by combining…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-11 David T. Frazier , Ryan Covey , Gael M. Martin , Donald Poskitt

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

This paper addresses the challenge of neural state estimation in power distribution systems. We identified a research gap in the current state of the art, which lies in the inability of models to adapt to changes in the power grid, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Aleksandr Berezin , Stephan Balduin , Thomas Oberließen , Sebastian Peter , Eric MSP Veith

Verifying entanglement with experimental measurements requires that we take the limitations of experimental techniques into account, while still proving that the data obtained could not have been generated from a classical source. In the…

We present a new test of hypothesis in which we seek the probability of the null conditioned on the data, where the null is a simplification undertaken to counter the intractability of the more complex model, that the simpler null model is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-20 Dalia Chakrabarty

The operating status of power systems is influenced by growing varieties of factors, resulting from the developing sizes and complexity of power systems; in this situation, the modelbased methods need be revisited. A data-driven method, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-07 Xinyi Xu , Xing He , Qian Ai , Robert C. Qiu

Genome-wide association analysis has generated much discussion about how to preserve power to detect signals despite the detrimental effect of multiple testing on power. We develop a weighted multiple testing procedure that facilitates the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kathryn Roeder , Bernie Devlin , Larry Wasserman

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah

Negative control is a common technique in scientific investigations and broadly refers to the situation where a null effect (''negative result'') is expected. Motivated by a real proteomic dataset, we will present three promising and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Zijun Gao , Qingyuan Zhao

For some variants of regression models, including partial, measurement error or error-in-variables, latent effects, semi-parametric and otherwise corrupted linear models, the classical parametric tests generally do not perform well. Various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-25 Pranab K. Sen , Jana Jureckova , Jan Picek

A number of biomedical problems require performing many hypothesis tests, with an attendant need to apply stringent thresholds. Often the data take the form of a series of predictor vectors, each of which must be compared with a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Yi-Hui Zhou , Fred Wright

The problem of detecting correlations from samples of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector has recently received a lot of attention. In most existing work, detection procedures are provided with a full sample. However, following common wisdom…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Rui M. Castro , Gabor Lugosi , Pierre-André Savalle

In transformation regression models the response is transformed before fitting a regression model to covariates and transformed response. We assume such a model where the errors are independent from the covariates and the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Nick Kloodt , Natalie Neumeyer , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In recent years, power analysis has become widely used in applied sciences, with the increasing importance of the replicability issue. When distribution-free methods, such as Partial Least Squares (PLS)-based approaches, are considered,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Angela Andreella , Livio Fino , Bruno Scarpa , Matteo Stocchero

This paper introduces a novel conformal selection procedure, inspired by the Neyman--Pearson paradigm, to maximize the power of selecting qualified units while maintaining false discovery rate (FDR) control. Existing conformal selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Jing Qin , Yukun Liu , Moming Li , Chiung-Yu Huang

This paper places conformal testing in a general framework of statistical hypothesis testing. A standard approach to testing a composite null hypothesis $H$ is to test each of its elements and to reject $H$ when each of its elements is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Vladimir Vovk

Much research on Machine Learning testing relies on empirical studies that evaluate and show their potential. However, in this context empirical results are sensitive to a number of parameters that can adversely impact the results of the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Salah Ghamizi , Maxime Cordy , Yuejun Guo , Mike Papadakis , And Yves Le Traon

Testing for independence between two random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. It is observed from empirical studies that many existing omnibus consistent tests may not work well for some strongly nonmonotonic and nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Kai Xu , Yeqing Zhou , Liping Zhu , Runze Li

Controllable text generation systems often leverage control codes to direct various properties of the output like style and length. Inspired by recent work on causal inference for NLP, this paper reveals a previously overlooked flaw in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Junyi Chai , Reid Pryzant , Victor Ye Dong , Konstantin Golobokov , Chenguang Zhu , Yi Liu

Two common concerns raised in analyses of randomized experiments are (i) appropriately handling issues of non-compliance, and (ii) appropriately adjusting for multiple tests (e.g., on multiple outcomes or subgroups). Although simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-25 Joseph J. Lee , Laura Forastiere , Luke Miratrix , Natesh S. Pillai