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The fused lasso penalizes a loss function by the $L_1$ norm for both the regression coefficients and their successive differences to encourage sparsity of both. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian generalized fused lasso modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-15 Kaito Shimamura , Masao Ueki , Shuichi Kawano , Sadanori Konishi

A 'Winner's Curse' arises in large-scale online experimentation platforms when the same experiments are used to both select treatments and evaluate their effects. In these settings, classical difference-in-means estimators of treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Richard Mudd , Rina Friedberg , Ilya Gorbachev , Houssam Nassif , Abbas Zaidi

Bayesian mixture models are widely used for clustering of high-dimensional data with appropriate uncertainty quantification. However, as the dimension of the observations increases, posterior inference often tends to favor too many or too…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Recently, a number of mostly $\ell_1$-norm regularized least squares type deterministic algorithms have been proposed to address the problem of \emph{sparse} adaptive signal estimation and system identification. From a Bayesian perspective,…

The horseshoe prior has proven to be a noteworthy alternative for sparse Bayesian estimation, but has previously suffered from two problems. First, there has been no systematic way of specifying a prior for the global shrinkage…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

In inference problems involving a multi-dimensional parameter $\theta$, it is often natural to consider decision rules that have a risk which is invariant under some group $G$ of permutations of $\theta$. We show that this implies that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 Erik van Zwet

In many regression settings the unknown coefficients may have some known structure, for instance they may be ordered in space or correspond to a vectorized matrix or tensor. At the same time, the unknown coefficients may be sparse, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Maryclare Griffin , Peter D. Hoff

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Gaussian mixture models are a popular tool for model-based clustering, and mixtures of factor analyzers are Gaussian mixture models having parsimonious factor covariance structure for mixture components. There are several recent extensions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

Deep neural networks are prone to overconfident predictions on outliers. Bayesian neural networks and deep ensembles have both been shown to mitigate this problem to some extent. In this work, we aim to combine the benefits of the two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Runa Eschenhagen , Erik Daxberger , Philipp Hennig , Agustinus Kristiadi

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

Due to its self-regularizing nature and its ability to quantify uncertainty, the Bayesian approach has achieved excellent recovery performance across a wide range of sparse signal recovery applications. However, most existing methods are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Zonglong Bai , Liming Shi , Jinwei Sun , Mads Græsbøll Christensen

The emergence of Big Data raises the question of how to model economic relations when there is a large number of possible explanatory variables. We revisit the issue by comparing the possibility of using dense or sparse models in a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Bruno Fava , Hedibert F. Lopes

Linear mixed-effects models are a central analytical tool for modeling hierarchical and longitudinal data, as they allow simultaneous representation of fixed and random sources of variation. In practice, inference for such models is most…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Hilde Vinje , Lars Erik Gangsei

This paper focuses on Bayesian shrinkage for covariance matrix estimation. We examine posterior properties and frequentist risks of Bayesian estimators based on new hierarchical inverse-Wishart priors. More precisely, we give the existence…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Mathilde Bouriga , Olivier Féron

Finite mixture models are a useful statistical model class for clustering and density approximation. In the Bayesian framework finite mixture models require the specification of suitable priors in addition to the data model. These priors…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Bettina Grün , Gertraud Malsiner-Walli

The Bayesian paradigm has the potential to solve core issues of deep neural networks such as poor calibration and data inefficiency. Alas, scaling Bayesian inference to large weight spaces often requires restrictive approximations. In this…

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein
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