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We study the lower tail large deviation problem for subgraph counts in a random graph. Let $X_H$ denote the number of copies of $H$ in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$. We are interested in estimating the lower tail…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Yufei Zhao

The "infamous upper tail problem" for $r$-uniform hypergraphs is to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a fixed hypergraph $H$ in a large binomial $r$-uniform hypergraph $\boldsymbol{G}$ exceeds its expectation by a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Nicholas A. Cook , Nguyen Nguyen

We consider the upper tail large deviations of subgraph counts for irregular graphs $\mathrm{H}$ in $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$, the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph on $n$ vertices with edge connectivity probability $p \in (0,1)$. For $n^{-1/\Delta}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Anirban Basak , Shaibal Karmakar

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo

The upper tail problem in a random graph asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph in an Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph exceeds its expectation by some constant factor. There has been much exciting…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Yang P. Liu , Yufei Zhao

We show that the naive mean-field approximation correctly predicts the leading term of the logarithmic lower tail probabilities for the number of copies of a given subgraph in $G(n,p)$ and of arithmetic progressions of a given length in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Gady Kozma , Wojciech Samotij

What is the probability that the number of triangles in $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$, the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph with edge density $p$, is at least twice its mean? Writing it as $\exp[- r(n,p)]$, already the order of the rate function…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

Building on the techniques from the breakthrough paper of Harel, Mousset and Samotij, which solved the upper tail problem for cliques, we compute the asymptotics of the upper tail for the number of induced copies of the 4-cycle in the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Asaf Cohen Antonir

Motivated by the Beck-Fiala conjecture, we study the discrepancy problem in two related models of random hypergraphs on $n$ vertices and $m$ edges. In the first (edge-independent) model, a random hypergraph $H_1$ is constructed by fixing a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Calum MacRury , Tomáš Masařík , Leilani Pai , Xavier Pérez-Giménez

We study a variant of the Erd\H{o}s Matching Problem in random hypergraphs. Let $\mathcal{K}_p(n,k)$ denote the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random $k$-uniform hypergraph on $n$ vertices where each possible edge is included with probability $p$. We…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Peter Frankl , Jiaxi Nie , Jian Wang

For a $\Delta$-regular connected graph ${\sf H}$ the problem of determining the upper tail large deviation for the number of copies of ${\sf H}$ in $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$, an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph on $n$ vertices with edge probability $p$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Anirban Basak , Riddhipratim Basu

The upper tail problem in a sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph asks for the probability that the number of copies of some fixed subgraph exceeds its expected value by a constant factor. We study the analogous problem for oriented subgraphs in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Jiyun Park

The following question is due to Chatterjee and Varadhan (2011). Fix $0<p<r<1$ and take $G\sim G(n,p)$, the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph with edge density $p$, conditioned to have at least as many triangles as the typical $G(n,r)$. Is $G$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-05 Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

The upper tail problem for the largest eigenvalue of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ is to estimate the probability that the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ exceeds its typical value…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly

We consider an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices with edge probability $p$ such that \[ \sqrt{\frac{\log n}{\log \log n}} \ll np \le n^{1/2-o(1)}, \label{eq:abs} \tag{$\dagger$} \] and derive the upper tail large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Anirban Basak

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the joint upper and lower tail large deviations of the edge eigenvalues of an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$, in the regime of $p$ where the edge of the spectrum is no…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Sohom Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly

Suppose that $X$ is a bounded-degree polynomial with nonnegative coefficients on the $p$-biased discrete hypercube. Our main result gives sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper tail probability of $X$ whenever an associated extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

We study minimum vertex cover problems on random \alpha-uniform hypergraphs using two different approaches, a replica method in statistical mechanics of random systems and a leaf removal algorithm. It is found that there exists a phase…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-07-03 Satoshi Takabe , Koji Hukushima

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke
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