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Simulator-based models are models for which the likelihood is intractable but simulation of synthetic data is possible. They are often used to describe complex real-world phenomena, and as such can often be misspecified in practice.…

In this paper, we propose a new solution for the detection problem of a coherent target in heterogeneous environments. Specifically, we first assume that clutter returns from different range bins share the same covariance structure but…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Angelo Coluccia , Danilo Orlando , Giuseppe Ricci

Activity detection is an important task in the next generation grant-free multiple access. While there are a number of existing algorithms designed for this purpose, they mostly require precise information about the network, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Hao Zhang , Qingfeng Lin , Yang Li , Lei Cheng , Yik-Chung Wu

This study presents a Bayesian spectral density approach for identification and uncertainty quantification of flutter derivatives of bridge sections utilizing buffeting displacement responses, where the wind tunnel test is conducted in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Xiaolei Chu , Wei Cui , Peng Liu , Lin Zhao , Yaojun Ge

In many instances, the application of approximate Bayesian methods is hampered by two practical features: 1) the requirement to project the data down to low-dimensional summary, including the choice of this projection, which ultimately…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 David T. Frazier

Federated analytics has many applications in edge computing, its use can lead to better decision making for service provision, product development, and user experience. We propose a Bayesian approach to trend detection in which the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Amit Chaulwar , Michael Huth

Recent advances in machine learning have led to increased deployment of black-box classifiers across a wide variety of applications. In many such situations there is a critical need to both reliably assess the performance of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Disi Ji , Robert L. Logan , Padhraic Smyth , Mark Steyvers

This paper considers a sensor attack and fault detection problem for linear cyber-physical systems, which are subject to system noise that can obey an unknown light-tailed distribution. We propose a new threshold-based detection mechanism…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martínez

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework to detect multiple signals embedded in noisy observations from a sensor array. For various states of knowledge on the communication channel and the noise at the receiving sensors, a marginalization…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-08 Romain Couillet , Merouane Debbah

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

When incorporating deep neural networks into robotic systems, a major challenge is the lack of uncertainty measures associated with their output predictions. Methods for uncertainty estimation in the output of deep object detectors (DNNs)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Ali Harakeh , Michael Smart , Steven L. Waslander

Accurate prediction of dynamical response of structural system depends on the correct modeling of that system. However, modeling becomes increasingly challenging when there are many candidate models available to describe the system…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Subhayan De , Tianhao Yu , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

This paper focusses on the formulation of numerical integration as an inferential task. To date, research effort has largely focussed on the development of Bayesian cubature, whose distributional output provides uncertainty quantification…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

This paper considers the design of tunable decision schemes capable of rejecting with high probability mismatched signals embedded in Gaussian interference with unknown covariance matrix. To this end, a sparse recovery technique is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Sudan Han , Luca Pallotta , Xiaotao Huang , Gaetano Giunta , Danilo Orlando

Nowadays, g-mode detection is based upon a priori theoretical knowledge. By doing so, detection becomes more restricted to what we can imagine. De facto, the universe of possibilities is made narrower. Such an approach is pertinent for…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 T. Appourchaux

In this paper, we propose a general framework for combining evidence of varying quality to estimate underlying binary latent variables in the presence of restrictions imposed to respect the scientific context. The resulting algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Zhenke Wu , Livia Casciola-Rosen , Antony Rosen , Scott L. Zeger

This work considers an estimation task in compressive sensing, where the goal is to estimate an unknown signal from compressive measurements that are corrupted by additive pre-measurement noise (interference, or clutter) as well as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-25 Swayambhoo Jain , Akshay Soni , Jarvis Haupt

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson