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Traditional epidemic models consider that individual processes occur at constant rates. That is, an infected individual has a constant probability per unit time of recovering from infection after contagion. This assumption certainly fails…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-18 Guillermo Abramson , Sebastian Gonçalves , Marcelo F. C. Gomes

This article is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Neumann boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li , Liang Zhang

Our paper presents three new classes of models: SIR-PH, SIR-PH-FA, and SIR-PH-IA, and states two problems we would like to solve about them. Recall that deterministic mathematical epidemiology has one basic general law, the R0 alternative"…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Andrei Halanay

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia

We study the stability properties of a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) diffusion model, so-called the $n$-intertwined Markov model, over arbitrary directed network topologies. As in the majority of the work on infection spread…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Ali Khanafer , Tamer Başar , Bahman Gharesifard

TThis paper presents the dynamics of mosquitoes and humans, with general nonlinear incidence rate and multiple distributed delays for the disease. The model is a SEIRS system of delay differential equations. The normalized dimensionless…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-01 Ciyuan Zhang , Humphrey Leung , Brooks Butler , Philip. E. Paré

This paper studies qualitative properties of solutions of nonlocal infectious SIR epidemic models (1.3)-(1.5), with the homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions, Dirichlet boundary conditions and free boundary, respectively. We first use the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Hanxiang Bao , Mingxin Wang , Shaowen Yao

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

In this paper, we develop a multi-group epidemic framework via virtual dispersal where the risk of infection is a function of the residence time and local environmental risk. This novel approach eliminates the need to define and measure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-01 Derdei Bichara , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez , Richard Horan , Charles Perrings

We propose a compartmental model for a disease with temporary immunity and secondary infections. From our assumptions on the parameters involved in the model, the system naturally evolves in three time scales. We characterize the equilibria…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Panagiotis Kaklamanos , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Sara Sottile

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

The SIR pandemic model suffers from an unrealistic assumption: The rate of removal from the infectious class of individuals is assumed to be proportional to the number of infectious individuals. This means that a change in the rate of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Paul A. Reiser

This paper is concerned with two frequency-dependent SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models in heterogeneous environment, with a cross-diffusion term modeling the effect that susceptible individuals tend to move away from higher…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-20 Huicong Li , Rui Peng , Tian Xiang

We investigate global stability properties of a HIV/AIDS population model with constant recruitment rate, mass action incidence, and variable population size. Existence and uniqueness results for disease-free and endemic equilibrium points…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-05 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

In most models of the spread of disease over contact networks it is assumed that the probabilities per unit time of disease transmission and recovery from disease are constant, implying exponential distributions of the time intervals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-23 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

When an infectious disease propagates throughout society, the incidence function may rise at first due to an increase in pathogenicity and then decrease due to inhibitory effects until it reaches saturation. Effective vaccination and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Sushil Pathak , G. Shirisha , K. Venkata Ratnam

In recent years, classical epidemic models, which assume stationary behavior of individuals, have been extended to include an adaptive heterogeneous response of the population to the current state of the epidemic. However, it is widely…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Ruofei Guan , Jana Kopfová , Dmitrii Rachinskii