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In many applications there is interest in estimating the relation between a predictor and an outcome when the relation is known to be monotone or otherwise constrained due to the physical processes involved. We consider one such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Ander Wilson , Jessica Tryner , Christian L'Orange , John Volckens

Bayesian analysis of functions and curves is considered, where warping and other geometrical transformations are often required for meaningful comparisons. We focus on two applications involving the classification of mouse vertebrae shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-12 Wen Cheng , Ian L. Dryden , Xianzheng Huang

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

We present the first fully variational Bayesian inference scheme for continuous Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes. Such point processes are used in a variety of domains, including neuroscience, geo-statistics and astronomy, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-29 Chris Lloyd , Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq

Dirichlet processes (DP) are widely applied in Bayesian nonparametric modeling. However, in their basic form they do not directly integrate dependency information among data arising from space and time. In this paper, we propose location…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-04 Shiliang Sun , John Paisley , Qiuyang Liu

The aim of the present study is to detect abrupt trend changes in the mean of a multidimensional sequential signal. Directly inspired by papers of Fernhead and Liu ([4] and [5]), this work describes the signal in a hierarchical manner : the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Olivier Sorba , C Geissler

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni

The Bayesian perspective on inverse problems has attracted much mathematical attention in recent years. Particular attention has been paid to Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs) in which the parameter to be inferred lies in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 T. J. Sullivan

Advances in cellular imaging technologies, especially those based on fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) now allow detailed visualization of the spatial organization of human or bacterial cells. Quantifying this spatial organization…

We introduce a computational efficient data-driven framework suitable for quantifying the uncertainty in physical parameters and model formulation of computer models, represented by differential equations. We construct physics-informed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Michail Spitieris , Ingelin Steinsland

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Many statistical problems include model parameters that are defined as the solutions to optimization sub-problems. These include classical approaches such as profile likelihood as well as modern applications involving flow networks or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Cheng Zeng , Yaozhi Yang , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

This paper develops a generalized (quasi-) Bayes framework for conditional moment restriction models, where the parameter of interest is a nonparametric structural function of endogenous variables. We establish contraction rates for a class…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-02 Sid Kankanala

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Bayesian models that mix multiple Dirichlet prior parameters, called Multi-Dirichlet priors (MD) in this paper, are gaining popularity. Inferring mixing weights and parameters of mixed prior distributions seems tricky, as sums over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Christoph Carl Kling

Bayesian models provide a framework for probabilistic modelling of complex datasets. However, many of such models are computationally demanding especially in the presence of large datasets. On the other hand, in sensor network applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-06 Behnam Babagholami-Mohamadabadi , Sejong Yoon , Vladimir Pavlovic

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Kenyon Ng , Weichang Yu , Howard D. Bondell