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We study holonomic gradient decent for maximum likelihood estimation of exponential-polynomial distribution, whose density is the exponential function of a polynomial in the random variable. We first consider the case that the support of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-17 Jumpei Hayakawa , Akimichi Takemura

Modal regression is aimed at estimating the global mode (i.e., global maximum) of the conditional density function of the output variable given input variables, and has led to regression methods robust against heavy-tailed or skewed noises.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-21 Hiroaki Sasaki , Tomoya Sakai , Takafumi Kanamori

In the context of density level set estimation, we study the convergence of general plug-in methods under two main assumptions on the density for a given level $\lambda$. More precisely, it is assumed that the density (i) is smooth in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Philippe Rigollet , Régis Vert

We describe two slice sampling methods for taking multivariate steps using the crumb framework. These methods use the gradients at rejected proposals to adapt to the local curvature of the log-density surface, a technique that can produce…

Computation · Statistics 2010-03-17 Madeleine Thompson , Radford M. Neal

We present a new adaptive kernel density estimator based on linear diffusion processes. The proposed estimator builds on existing ideas for adaptive smoothing by incorporating information from a pilot density estimate. In addition, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Z. I. Botev , J. F. Grotowski , D. P. Kroese

Local polynomial regression (Fan and Gijbels 1996) is an important class of methods for nonparametric density estimation and regression problems. However, straightforward implementation of local polynomial regression has quadratic time…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Yi Wu , Simon S. Du

We propose two estimators of a monotone spectral density, that are based on the periodogram. These are the isotonic regression of the periodogram and the isotonic regression of the log-periodogram. We derive pointwise limit distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Dragi Anevski , Philippe Soulier

Scoring rules assess the quality of probabilistic forecasts, by assigning a numerical score based on the predictive distribution and on the event or value that materializes. A scoring rule is proper if it encourages truthful reporting. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-01 Werner Ehm , Tilmann Gneiting

This paper introduces an intuitive and easy-to-implement nonparametric density estimator based on local polynomial techniques. The estimator is fully boundary adaptive and automatic, but does not require pre-binning or any other…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-06-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

In this paper we introduce a method for nonparametric density estimation on geometric networks. We define fused density estimators as solutions to a total variation regularized maximum-likelihood density estimation problem. We provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Robert Bassett , James Sharpnack

We consider discrete time models for asset prices with a stationary volatility process. We aim at estimating the multivariate density of this process at a set of consecutive time instants. A Fourier type deconvolution kernel density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

Consider a density $f$ on $[0,1]$ that must be estimated from an i.i.d. sample $X_1,...,X_n$ drawn from $f$. In this note, we study binary-tree-based histogram estimates that use recursive splitting of intervals. If the decision to split an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Luc Devroye , Jad Hamdan

A parametric method similar to autoregressive spectral estimators is proposed to determine the probability density function (pdf) of a random set. The method proceeds by maximizing the likelihood of the pdf, yielding estimates that perform…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 T. Dudok de Wit , E. Floriani

Within the framework of smoothing spline ANOVA, we propose a plug-in kernel ridge regression estimator to estimate the derivatives of the underlying multivariate regression function. We first establish an $L_\infty$ convergence rate of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ruiqi Liu , Kexuan Li , Meng Li

The shrinking rank method is a variation of slice sampling that is efficient at sampling from multivariate distributions with highly correlated parameters. It requires that the gradient of the log-density be computable. At each individual…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-23 Madeleine B. Thompson , Radford M. Neal

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

The Grenander estimator is a well-studied procedure for univariate nonparametric density estimation. It is usually defined as the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) over the class of all non-increasing densities on the positive real line.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Arlene K. H. Kim , Gil Kur , Adityanand Guntuboyina

Given a random sample from some unknown density $f_0: \mathbb R \to [0, \infty)$ we devise Haar wavelet estimators for $f_0$ with variable resolution levels constructed from localised test procedures (as in Lepski, Mammen, and Spokoiny…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Florian Gach , Richard Nickl , Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider the problem of Bayesian density estimation on the positive semiline for possibly unbounded densities. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian estimator based on the gamma mixture prior which can be viewed as a location mixture. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Natalia Bochkina , Judith Rousseau

In this paper, we study the problem of adaptive estimation of the spectral density of a stationary Gaussian process. For this purpose, we consider a wavelet-based method which combines the ideas of wavelet approximation and estimation by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay Lirio , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez