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Solving chance-constrained optimal control problems for systems subject to non-stationary uncertainties is a significant challenge.Conventional robust model predictive control (MPC) often yields excessive conservatism by relying on static…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Mingcong Li

This paper concerns the risk-aware control of stochastic systems with temporal logic specifications dynamically assigned during runtime. Conventional risk-aware control typically assumes that all specifications are predefined and remain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Zengjie Zhang , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

This study investigates a stochastic production planning problem with regime-switching parameters, inspired by economic cycles impacting production and inventory costs. The model considers types of goods and employs a Markov chain to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Dragos-Patru Covei

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic economic model predictive control (SEMPC) that minimizes average economic cost while satisfying an empirical expected shortfall (EES) constraint to manage risk. A new scenario-based problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Alireza Arastou , Algo Carè , Ye Wang , Marco Campi , Erik Weyer

We study the minimization of the expected costs under stochastic constraint at the terminal time. The first and the main result says that for a power type of costs, the value function is the minimal positive solution of a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Yan Dolinsky , Benjamin Gottesman , Ori Gurel-Gurevich

We explore efficient estimation of statistical quantities, particularly rare event probabilities, for stochastic reaction networks. Consequently, we propose an importance sampling (IS) approach to improve the Monte Carlo (MC) estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raúl Tempone , Sophia Wiechert

We assume that an individual invests in a financial market with one riskless and one risky asset, with the latter's price following a diffusion with stochastic volatility. In the current financial market especially, it is important to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Xueying Hu , Virginia R. Young

Optimality conditions in the form of a variational inequality are proved for a class of constrained optimal control problems of stochastic differential equations. The cost function and the inequality constraints are functions of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Laurent Pfeiffer

Sample-based trajectory optimisers are a promising tool for the control of robotics with non-differentiable dynamics and cost functions. Contemporary approaches derive from a restricted subclass of stochastic optimal control where the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Tom Lefebvre , Guillaume Crevecoeur

Recent advances in safety-critical risk-aware control are predicated on apriori knowledge of the disturbances a system might face. This paper proposes a method to efficiently learn these disturbances online, in a risk-aware context. First,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 Prithvi Akella , Skylar X. Wei , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

We analyze a stochastic optimal control problem, where the state process follows a McKean-Vlasov dynamics and the diffusion coefficient can be degenerate. We prove that its value function V admits a nonlinear Feynman-Kac representation in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Erhan Bayraktar , Andrea Cosso , Huyên Pham

We consider a stochastic control problem for a class of nonlinear kernels. More precisely, our problem of interest consists in the optimisation, over a set of possibly non-dominated probability measures, of solutions of backward stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-28 Dylan Possamaï , Xiaolu Tan , Chao Zhou

This paper is concerned with a discounted optimal control problem of partially observed forward-backward stochastic systems with jumps on infinite horizon. The control domain is convex and a kind of infinite horizon observation equation is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Yueyang Zheng , Jingtao Shi

Providing finite-time probabilistic safety and reach-avoid guarantees is crucial for safety-critical stochastic systems. Existing state-of-the-art barrier methods often rely on a restrictive boundedness assumption for auxiliary functions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Bai Xue , Luke Ong , Dominik Wagner , Peixin Wang

Stochastic Optimal Control Problems (SOCPs) plays a major role in the sequential decision-making challenges. There exist various iterative algorithms, under framework of stochastic maximum principle, that sequentially find the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Mohsen Amidzadeh

Despite the simplicity and intuitive interpretation of Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) estimators, their effectiveness in certain scenarios is questionable. Indeed, minimizing squared errors on average does not provide any form of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Luiz F. O. Chamon , George J. Pappas , Alejandro Ribeiro

This paper investigates the optimal control problem for a class of parabolic equations where the diffusion coefficient is influenced by a control function acting nonlocally. Specifically, we consider the optimization of a cost functional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Stefana-Lucia Anita , Luca Di Persio

Optimized certainty equivalents (OCEs) is a family of risk measures widely used by both practitioners and academics. This is mostly due to its tractability and the fact that it encompasses important examples, including entropic risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Julio Backhoff Veraguas , A. Max Reppen , Ludovic Tangpi

We present a general framework for optimizing the Conditional Value-at-Risk for dynamical systems using stochastic search. The framework is capable of handling the uncertainty from the initial condition, stochastic dynamics, and uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Ziyi Wang , Oswin So , Keuntaek Lee , Camilo A. Duarte , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone
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