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Geostatistics is a branch of statistics concerned with stochastic processes over continuous domains, with Gaussian processes (GPs) providing a flexible and principled modelling framework. However, the high computational cost of simulating…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Gareth O. Roberts

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

This paper deals with motion planning for multiple agents by representing the problem as a simultaneous optimization of every agent's trajectory. Each trajectory is considered as a sample from a one-dimensional continuous-time Gaussian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-06-21 Luka Petrović , Ivan Marković , Marija Seder

Recent work on simultaneous trajectory estimation and mapping (STEAM) for mobile robots has found success by representing the trajectory as a Gaussian process. Gaussian processes can represent a continuous-time trajectory, elegantly handle…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-04-13 Xinyan Yan , Vadim Indelman , Byron Boots

Large amounts of traffic can lead to negative effects such as increased car accidents, air pollution, and significant time wasted. Understanding traffic speeds on any given road segment can be highly beneficial for traffic management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Alexandru T. Cismaru

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

The problem of modeling and predicting spatiotemporal traffic phenomena over an urban road network is important to many traffic applications such as detecting and forecasting congestion hotspots. This paper presents a decentralized data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Jie Chen , Kian Hsiang Low , Colin Keng-Yan Tan , Ali Oran , Patrick Jaillet , John Dolan , Gaurav Sukhatme

This paper offers an integrative data-driven physics-inspired approach to model and control traffic congestion in a resilient and efficient manner. While existing physics-based approaches commonly assign density and flow traffic states by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Hossein Rastgoftar , Ella Atkins

Crowdsourced GPS probe data has become a major source of real-time traffic information applications. In addition to traditional traveler advisory systems such as dynamic message signs (DMS) and 511 systems, probe data is being used for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Zhongxiang Wang , Masoud Hamedi , Elham Sharifi , Stanley Young

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

Traffic speed forecasting is one of the core problems in transportation systems. For a more accurate prediction, recent studies started using not only the temporal speed patterns but also the spatial information on the road network through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Kyungeun Lee , Wonjong Rhee

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

To advance formal verification of stochastic systems against temporal logic requirements for handling unknown dynamics, researchers have been designing data-driven approaches inspired by breakthroughs in the underlying machine learning…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Oliver Schön , Shammakh Naseer , Ben Wooding , Sadegh Soudjani

This paper leverages macroscopic models and multi-source spatiotemporal data collected from automatic traffic counters and probe vehicles to accurately estimate traffic flow and travel time in links where these measurements are unavailable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Pablo Guarda , Sean Qian

Thanks to the diffusion of the Internet of Things, nowadays it is possible to sense human mobility almost in real time using unconventional methods (e.g., number of bikes in a bike station). Due to the diffusion of such technologies, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Marco Cardia , Massimiliano Luca , Luca Pappalardo

With people constantly migrating to different urban areas, our mobility needs for work, services and leisure are transforming rapidly. The changing urban demographics pose several challenges for the efficient management of transit services.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-08 Trivik Verma , Mikhail Sirenko , Itto Kornecki , Scott Cunningham , Nuno AM Araújo

Traffic assignment is a core component of many urban transport planning tools. It is used to determine how traffic is distributed over a transportation network. We study the task of computing traffic assignments for public transport: Given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Julian Patzner , Matthias Müller-Hannemann

Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Lukas Hewing , Elena Arcari , Lukas P. Fröhlich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Traffic forecasting is important for the success of intelligent transportation systems. Deep learning models, including convolution neural networks and recurrent neural networks, have been extensively applied in traffic forecasting problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo