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Kernel Estimation provides an unbinned and non-parametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. In the first section, after a brief discussion on parametric and non-parametric methods, the theory of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 Kyle S. Cranmer

We study the problem of estimating the probability density function of a circular random variable subject to censoring. To this end, we propose a fully computable quotient estimator that combines a projection estimator on linear sieves with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Nicolas Conanec

We present three different methods to estimate error bars on the predictions made using a neural network. All of them represent lower bounds for the extrapolation errors. For example, we did not include an analysis on robustness against…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-08-11 A. Pastore , M. Carnini

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a conditional density in moderately large dimensions. Much more informative than regression functions, conditional densities are of main interest in recent methods, particularly in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-22 Minh-Lien Jeanne Nguyen

The problem of astrometry is revisited from the perspective of analyzing the attainability of well-known performance limits (the Cramer-Rao bound) for the estimation of the relative position of light-emitting (usually point-like) sources on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-05 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Rene A. Mendez , Rodrigo Lobos , Marcos Orchard

We consider density estimators based on the nearest neighbors method applied to discrete point distibutions in spaces of arbitrary dimensionality. If the density is constant, the volume of a hypersphere centered at a random location is…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-01-24 Przemek Wozniak , Andrzej Kruszewski

In many statistical and econometric applications, we gather individual samples from various interconnected populations that undeniably exhibit common latent structures. Utilizing a model that incorporates these latent structures for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Archer Gong Zhang , Jiahua Chen

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

We transform a double integral into a second-order initial value problem, which we solve using Euler's method and Richardson extrapolation. For an example we consider, we achieve accuracy close to machine precision (1e-15). We also use the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-13 J. S. C. Prentice

This works extends the Random Embedding Bayesian Optimization approach by integrating a warping of the high dimensional subspace within the covariance kernel. The proposed warping, that relies on elementary geometric considerations, allows…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Mickaël Binois , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant

We study the problem of space and time efficient evaluation of a nonparametric estimator that approximates an unknown density. In the regime where consistent estimation is possible, we use a piecewise multivariate polynomial interpolation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Paxton Turner , Jingbo Liu , Philippe Rigollet

A nonparametric kernel density estimator for directional-linear data is introduced. The proposal is based on a product kernel accounting for the different nature of both (directional and linear) components of the random vector. Expressions…

This paper proposes an extension of Random Projection Depth (RPD) to cope with multiple modalities and non-convexity on data clouds. In the framework of the proposed method, the RPD is computed in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. With…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Akira Tamamori

A kernel based procedure for correcting experimental data for distortions due to the finite resolution and limited detector acceptance is presented. The unfolding problem is known to be an ill-posed problem that can not be solved without…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-19 N. D. Gagunashvili , M. Schmelling

We study the problem of estimating linear response statistics under external perturbations using time series of unperturbed dynamics. Based on the fluctuation-dissipation theory, this problem is reformulated as an unsupervised learning task…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

We study the problem of high-dimensional sparse mean estimation in the presence of an $\epsilon$-fraction of adversarial outliers. Prior work obtained sample and computationally efficient algorithms for this task for identity-covariance…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Sushrut Karmalkar , Ankit Pensia , Thanasis Pittas

Existing algorithms for subgroup discovery with numerical targets do not optimize the error or target variable dispersion of the groups they find. This often leads to unreliable or inconsistent statements about the data, rendering practical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Mario Boley , Bryan R. Goldsmith , Luca M. Ghiringhelli , Jilles Vreeken

Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree-ensemble based quantile regression. We propose a neural network-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Xinwei Shen , Nicolai Meinshausen

We propose the tensorizing flow method for estimating high-dimensional probability density functions from the observed data. The method is based on tensor-train and flow-based generative modeling. Our method first efficiently constructs an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Yinuo Ren , Hongli Zhao , Yuehaw Khoo , Lexing Ying

This paper addresses the deconvolution problem of estimating a square-integrable probability density from observations contaminated with additive measurement errors having a known density. The estimator begins with a density estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 David Kent , David Ruppert