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In this paper, we explore how we should aggregate the degrees of belief of of a group of agents to give a single coherent set of degrees of belief, when at least some of those agents might be probabilistically incoherent. There are a number…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-09-14 Richard Pettigrew

A critical failure mode of current lifelong agents is not lack of knowledge, but the inability to decide how to reason. When an agent encounters "Is this coin fair?" it must recognize whether to invoke frequentist hypothesis testing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Zhaohui Geoffrey Wang

In recent years, numerous mathematical models of opinion formation have been developed, incorporating diverse interaction mechanisms such as imitation and majority rule. However, limited attention has been given to models grounded in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-24 Lucía Pedraza , Nicolas Saintier , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Pablo Balenzuela , Celia Anteneodo

A model for the joint evolution of opinions and how much the agents trust each other is presented. The model is built using the framework of the Continuous Opinions and Discrete Actions (CODA) model. Instead of a fixed probability that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-19 André C. R. Martins

Phenomena which involves collective choice of many agents who are interacting with each other and choosing one of several alternatives, based on the limited information available to them, frequently show switching between two distinct…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha , S. Raghavendra

We investigate the dynamics of opinion formation on social networking platforms, focusing on how individual opinions, influenced by both social connections and platform algorithms, evolve. We model this process using a differential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Hind AlMahmoud , Frederik Mallmann-trenn

A common assumption in the social learning literature is that agents exchange information in an unselfish manner. In this work, we consider the scenario where a subset of agents aims at driving the network beliefs to the wrong hypothesis.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Konstantinos Ntemos , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

With the explosive growth of online social media, the ancient problem of information disorders interfering with news diffusion has surfaced with a renewed intensity threatening our democracies, public health, and news outlets' credibility.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Giancarlo Ruffo , Alfonso Semeraro , Anastasia Giachanou , Paolo Rosso

The study of opinions, their formation and change, is one of the defining topics addressed by social psychology, but in recent years other disciplines, as computer science and complexity, have addressed this challenge. Despite the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-22 Francesca Giardini , Walter Quattrociocchi , Rosaria Conte

Motivated by empirical research on bias and opinion formation, we formulate a multidimensional nonlinear opinion-dynamical model where agents have individual biases, which are fixed, as well as opinions, which evolve. The dimensions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-14 Luka Baković , David Ohlin , Giacomo Como , Emma Tegling

We examine how misinformation spreads in social networks composed of individuals with long-term offline relationships. Especially, we focus on why misinformation persists and diffuses despite being recognized by most as false. In our…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-13 Shuige Liu

In this paper we address the consensus problem in the context of networked agents whose communication graph can be split into a certain number of clusters in such a way that interactions between agents in the same clusters are cooperative,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-31 Giulia De Pasquale , Maria Elena Valcher

In this work an opinion formation model with heterogeneous agents is proposed. Each agent is supposed to have different power of persuasion, and besides its own level of zealotry, that is, an individual willingness to being convinced by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Mayte Pérez-Llanos , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Nicolas Saintier , Analía Silva

Political polarization has become a growing concern in democratic societies, as it drives tribal alignments and erodes civic deliberation among citizens. Given its prevalence across different countries, previous research has sought to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-01 Federico Zimmerman , Lucía Pedraza , Joaquín Navajas , Pablo Balenzuela

This paper proposes a careful separation between an entity's epistemic system and their decision system. Crucially, Bayesian counterfactuals are estimated by the epistemic system; not by the decision system. Based on this remark, I prove…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Lê Nguyên Hoang

Consensus formation is investigated for multi-agent systems in which agents' beliefs are both vague and uncertain. Vagueness is represented by a third truth state meaning \emph{borderline}. This is combined with a probabilistic model of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-01-15 Michael Crosscombe , Jonathan Lawry

Pluralistic ignorance is a social-psychological phenomenon that occurs when individuals privately hold beliefs that differ from perceived group norms. Traditional models, based on opinion dynamics with private and public states, fail to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-01 Alessandra F. Lütz , Lucas Wardil

This paper addresses the problem of non-Bayesian learning over multi-agent networks, where agents repeatedly collect partially informative observations about an unknown state of the world, and try to collaboratively learn the true state. We…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-30 Lili Su , Nitin H. Vaidya

We study the performance of different methods for processing information, incorporating narrative selection within an evolutionary model. All agents update their beliefs according to Bayes' Rule, but some strategically choose the narrative…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-06 Federico Innocenti , Roberto Rozzi

A network of agents attempt to learn some unknown state of the world drawn by nature from a finite set. Agents observe private signals conditioned on the true state, and form beliefs about the unknown state accordingly. Each agent may face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Shahin Shahrampour , Mohammad Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie