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Improving efficiency of importance sampler is at the center of research in Monte Carlo methods. While adaptive approach is usually difficult within the Markov Chain Monte Carlo framework, the counterpart in importance sampling can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-11 Heng Lian

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method generates samples by introducing a mechanical system that explores the target density. For distributions on manifolds it is not always simple to perform the mechanics as a result of the lack of global…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-22 Alessandro Barp , Anthony Kennedy , Mark Girolami

Path integral (PI) control problems are a restricted class of non-linear control problems that can be solved formally as a Feyman-Kac path integral and can be estimated using Monte Carlo sampling. In this contribution we review path…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-23 Hilbert Johan Kappen , Hans Christian Ruiz

Missing values exist in nearly all clinical studies because data for a variable or question are not collected or not available. Inadequate handling of missing values can lead to biased results and loss of statistical power in analysis.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Narges Pourshahrokhi , Samaneh Kouchaki , Kord M. Kober , Christine Miaskowski , Payam Barnaghi

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular method in sampling. While there are quite a few works of studying this method on various aspects, an interesting question is how to choose its integration time to achieve acceleration. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Jun-Kun Wang , Andre Wibisono

Quality by design in pharmaceutical manufacturing hinges on computational methods and tools that are capable of accurate quantitative prediction of the design space. This paper investigates Bayesian approaches to design space…

Many Bayesian inference problems involve high dimensional models for which only a subset of the model variables are of actual interest. All other variables are just nuisance parameters that one would ideally like to integrate out…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-13 Fabián González , Víctor Elvira , Joaquín Miguez

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) methods use a set of proposal distributions from which samples are drawn. Each sample is then assigned an importance weight that can be obtained according to different strategies. This work is motivated by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-21 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

In machine learning and computer vision, optimal transport has had significant success in learning generative models and defining metric distances between structured and stochastic data objects, that can be cast as probability measures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Anton Mallasto , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

Off-policy policy estimators that use importance sampling (IS) can suffer from high variance in long-horizon domains, and there has been particular excitement over new IS methods that leverage the structure of Markov decision processes. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yao Liu , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Emma Brunskill

The presence of erratic or unstable paths in standard kinetic Monte Carlo simulations significantly undermines the accurate simulation and sampling of transition pathways. While typically reliable methods, such as the Gillespie algorithm,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-03 Elad Korngut , Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

Importance sampling (IS) is a variance reduction method for simulating rare events. A recent paper by Dupuis, Wang and Sezer (Ann. App. Probab. 17(4):1306- 1346, 2007) exploits connections between IS and stochastic games and optimal control…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-24 Ali Devin Sezer

We explore the construction of new symplectic numerical integration schemes to be used in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and study their efficiency. Two integration schemes from Blanes et al. (2014), and a new scheme based on optimal acceptance…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-26 Janne Mannseth , Tore Selland Kleppe , Hans J. Skaug

Multiple Importance Sampling (MIS) methods approximate moments of complicated distributions by drawing samples from a set of proposal distributions. Several ways to compute the importance weights assigned to each sample have been recently…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-16 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

The basic idea of importance sampling is to use independent samples from a proposal measure in order to approximate expectations with respect to a target measure. It is key to understand how many samples are required in order to guarantee…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-17 S. Agapiou , O. Papaspiliopoulos , D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

We describe a simple Importance Sampling strategy for Monte Carlo simulations based on a least squares optimization procedure. With several numerical examples, we show that such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) provides efficiency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

In this article we consider importance sampling (IS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in the context of 1-dimensional random walks with absorbing barriers. In particular, we develop a very precise variance analysis for several IS…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-11 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra

High-dimensional count data poses significant challenges for statistical analysis, necessitating effective methods that also preserve explainability. We focus on a low rank constrained variant of the Poisson log-normal model, which relates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Bastien Batardière , Julien Chiquet , Joon Kwon , Julien Stoehr

Inferring the most likely configuration for a subset of variables of a joint distribution given the remaining ones - which we refer to as co-generation - is an important challenge that is computationally demanding for all but the simplest…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Tiantian Fang , Alexander G. Schwing

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo technique for efficiently estimating the likelihood of rare events by biasing the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By drawing weighted samples from a learned proposal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Liam A. Kruse , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer