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We study small perturbations of diffusion processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that leave invariant a finite collection of hypersurfaces. Each surface is assumed to be repelling for the unperturbed process, and the unperturbed motion on each of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Leonid Koralov , Chenglin Liu

We consider parametric hypotheses testing for multidimensional ergodic diffusion processes observed at discrete time. We propose a family of test statistics, related to the so called $\phi$-divergence measures. By taking into account the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-14 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano Iacus

In practice, data often contain discrete variables. But most of the popular nonparametric estimation methods have been developed in a purely continuous framework. A common trick among practitioners is to make discrete variables continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Thomas Nagler

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

We present a novel methodology based on filtered data and moving averages for estimating effective dynamics from observations of multiscale systems. We show in a semi-parametric framework of the Langevin type that our approach is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Giacomo Garegnani , Andrea Zanoni

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser

The most common way of estimating the anomalous diffusion exponent from single-particle trajectories consists in a linear fitting of the dependence of the time averaged mean square displacement on the lag time at the log-log scale. However,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-01-02 Yann Lanoiselée , Denis S. Grebenkov , Grzegorz Sikora , Aleksandra Grzesiek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

In this paper, we address a model selection problem for ergodic jump diffusion processes based on high-frequency samples. We evaluate the expected genuine log-likelihood function and derive an Akaike-type information criterion based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Yuma Uehara

We discuss parametric estimation of a degenerate diffusion system from time-discrete observations. The first component of the degenerate diffusion system has a parameter $\theta_1$ in a non-degenerate diffusion coefficient and a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

We take into consideration generalization bounds for the problem of the estimation of the drift component for ergodic stochastic differential equations, when the estimator is a ReLU neural network and the estimation is non-parametric with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Simone Di Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Yuma Uehara

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

Long-term causal inference has drawn increasing attention in many scientific domains. Existing methods mainly focus on estimating average long-term causal effects by combining long-term observational data and short-term experimental data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Junjie Wan , Zeqin Yang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato
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