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This paper is a continuation of the work presented in [Chertock et al., Math. Cli. Weather Forecast. 5, 1 (2019), 65--106]. We study uncertainty propagation in warm cloud dynamics of weakly compressible fluids. The mathematical model is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-22 A. Chertock , A. Kurganov , M. Lukáčová-Medviďová , P. Spichtinger , B. Wiebe

We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

We develop efficient hierarchical preconditioners for optimal control problems governed by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. Adopting a discretize-then-optimize framework that integrates finite element…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Zhendong Li , Akwum Onwunta , Bedřich Sousedík

In recent years, stochastic effects have become increasingly relevant for describing fluid behaviour, particularly in the context of turbulence. The most important model for inviscid fluids in computational fluid dynamics are the Euler…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Dominic Breit , Thamsanqa Castern Moyo , Philipp Öffner

Calibration of large-scale differential equation models to observational or experimental data is a widespread challenge throughout applied sciences and engineering. A crucial bottleneck in state-of-the art calibration methods is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Jon Cockayne , Andrew B. Duncan

We study the time-dependent Navier-Stokes equations in the context of stochastic finite element discretizations. Specifically, we assume that the viscosity is a random field given in the form of a generalized polynomial chaos expansion, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Bedřich Sousedík , Randy Price

We investigate linear dynamical systems of second order. Uncertainty quantification is applied, where physical parameters are substituted by random variables. A stochastic Galerkin method yields a linear dynamical system of second order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Roland Pulch

We present a new approach to using neural networks to approximate the solutions of variational equations, based on the adaptive construction of a sequence of finite-dimensional subspaces whose basis functions are realizations of a sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Mark Ainsworth , Justin Dong

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

We study an identification problem which estimates the parameters of the underlying random distribution for uncertain scalar conservation laws. The hyperbolic equations are discretized with the so-called discontinuous stochastic Galerkin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Louisa Schlachter , Claudia Totzeck

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

We consider traffic flow models at different scales of observation. Starting from the well known hierarchy between microscopic, kinetic and macroscopic scales, we will investigate the propagation of uncertainties through the models using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Elisa Iacomini

We develop a generalized stability framework for stochastic discrete-time systems, where the generality pertains to the ways in which the distribution of the state energy can be characterized. We use tools from finance and operations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Margaret P. Chapman , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

We present a novel approach to determine the evolution of level sets under uncertainties in the velocity fields. This leads to a stochastic description of the level sets. To compute the quantiles of random level sets, we use the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Markus Bambach , Stephan Gerster , Michael Herty , Aleksey Sikstel

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

The generalized polynomial chaos method is applied to the Buckley-Leverett equation. We consider a spatially homogeneous domain modeled as a random field. The problem is projected onto stochastic basis functions which yields an extended…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Per Pettersson , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi