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We propose an ODE-based derivation for a generalized class of opinion formation models either for single and multiple species (followers, leaders, trolls). The approach is purely deterministic and the evolution of the single opinion is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Simone Fagioli , Emanuela Radici

In this paper we present a new modelling framework combining replicator dynamics (which is the standard model of frequency dependent selection) with the model of an age-structured population. The new framework allows for the modelling of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-01 Krzysztof Argasinski , Mark Broom

Predicting counterfactual distributions in complex dynamical systems is essential for scientific modeling and decision-making in domains such as public health and medicine. However, existing methods often rely on point estimates or purely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Wenhao Mu , Zhi Cao , Mehmed Uludag , Alexander Rodríguez

This work proposes stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) as a practical tool to replicate clustering effects of more detailed particle-based dynamics. Inspired by membrane-mediated receptor dynamics on cell surfaces, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-22 Nathalie Wehlitz , Mohsen Sadeghi , Alberto Montefusco , Christof Schütte , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Stefanie Winkelmann

We introduce and analyze a class of interacting particle systems on the real line that combine features of the stochastic rat race and (deterministic) follow-the-leader models. The particle system evolves as a continuous-time pure jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja , Dilshad Imon

Reaction-diffusion models are used to describe systems in fields as diverse as physics, chemistry, ecology and biology. The fundamental quantities in such models are individual entities such as atoms and molecules, bacteria, cells or…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-03-02 Fabian Spill , Pilar Guerrero , Tomas Alarcon , Philip K. Maini , Helen Byrne

A mean-field selective optimal control problem of multipopulation dynamics via transient leadership is considered. The agents in the system are described by their spatial position and their probability of belonging to a certain population.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Giacomo Albi , Stefano Almi , Marco Morandotti , Francesco Solombrino

Complex biological processes involve collective behavior of entities (bacteria, cells, animals) over many length and time scales and can be described by discrete models that track individuals or by continuum models involving densities and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-11-16 F. Terragni , W. D. Martinson , M. Carretero , P. K. Maini , L. L. Bonilla

Synchronized movement of (both unicellular and multicellular) systems can be observed almost everywhere. Understanding of how organisms are regulated to synchronized behavior is one of the challenging issues in the field of collective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-25 Udoy S. Basak , Sulimon Sattari , Md. Motaleb Hossain , Kazuki Horikawa , Tamiki Komatsuzaki

We consider a continuous time Markov process on $\mathbb{N}_0$ which can be interpreted as generalized alternating birth-death process in a non-autonomous random environment. Depending on the status of the environment the process either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Hans Daduna

We study stochastic particle systems on a complete graph and derive effective mean-field rate equations in the limit of diverging system size, which are also known from cluster aggregation models. We establish the propagation of chaos under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Watthanan Jatuviriyapornchai , Stefan Grosskinsky

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

In this paper we study a two dimensional crowd model where pedestrian velocity consists of two elements: a non--local interaction term, modeling the effect of other walkers on each individual, and a control term. This latter term can be…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Fabio S. Priuli

We present a traffic flow model consisting of a gluing between the Lighthill-Whitham and Richards macroscopic model with a first order microscopic follow the leader model. The basic analytical properties of this model are investigated.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Francesca Marcellini

Here we study the emergence of spontaneous leadership in large populations. In standard models of opinion dynamics, herding behavior is only obeyed at the local scale due to the interaction of single agents with their neighbors; while at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Guillem Mosquera-Donate , Marian Boguna

In this paper we introduce and discuss kinetic equations for the evolution of the probability distribution of the number of particles in a population subject to binary interactions. The microscopic binary law of interaction is assumed to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Federico Bassetti , Giuseppe Toscani

We address the problem of controlling the density of a large ensemble of follower agents by acting on a group of leader agents that interact with them. Using coupled partial integro-differential equations to describe leader and follower…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-08 Gian Carlo Maffettone , Alain Boldini , Maurizio Porfiri , Mario di Bernardo

The Path-dependent Neural Jump ODE (PD-NJ-ODE) is a model for online prediction of generic (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic processes with irregular (in time) and potentially incomplete (with respect to coordinates) observations. It is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-29 Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

In many biological systems, chemical reactions or changes in a physical state are assumed to occur instantaneously. For describing the dynamics of those systems, Markov models that require exponentially distributed inter-event times have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-06 Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Hye-Won Kang , Eben Kenah , Grzegorz A. Rempala

It is common to use a compartmental, fluid model described by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to model disease spread. In addition to their simplicity, these models are also the mean-field approximations of more accurate…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-15 Benjamin Armbruster , Ekkehard Beck