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We analyze the dynamic tradeoff between generating and disclosing evidence. Agents are tempted to delay investing in a new technology in order to learn from information generated by the experiences of others. This informational free-riding…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-19 Jan Knoepfle , Julia Salmi

An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g., where exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-04 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan , Ali E. Abbas , Zbigniew R. Struzik

Dynamic Data selection aims to accelerate training by prioritizing informative samples during online training. However, existing methods typically rely on task-specific handcrafted metrics or static/snapshot-based criteria to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Suorong Yang , Fangjian Su , Hai Gan , Ziqi Ye , Jie Li , Baile Xu , Furao Shen , Soujanya Poria

We study how a decision-maker (DM) learns from data of unknown quality to form robust, ''general-purpose'' posterior beliefs. We develop a framework for robust learning and belief formation under a minimax-regret criterion, cast as a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-18 Yeon-Koo Che , Longjian Li , Tianling Luo

The Continuous Opinions and Discrete Actions (CODA) model has been widely used to study the emergence of extremism in social networks. However, this standard model has been shown to generate unrealistic extreme opinions due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-09 Andre C. R. Martins

In dynamic settings each economic agent's choices can be revealing of her private information. This elicitation via the rationalization of observable behavior depends each agent's perception of which payoff-relevant contingencies other…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-17 Evan Piermont , Peio Zuazo-Garin

Decomposing knowledge into interchangeable pieces promises a generalization advantage when there are changes in distribution. A learning agent interacting with its environment is likely to be faced with situations requiring novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Kanika Madan , Nan Rosemary Ke , Anirudh Goyal , Bernhard Schölkopf , Yoshua Bengio

We present a model of news media that shape consumer beliefs by providing information (signals about an exogenous state) and narratives (models of what determines outcomes). To amplify consumers' engagement, media maximize consumers'…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-15 Kfir Eliaz , Ran Spiegler

Biological brains are inherently limited in their capacity to process and store information, but are nevertheless capable of solving complex tasks with apparent ease. Intelligent behavior is related to these limitations, since resource…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Nisheet Patel , Luigi Acerbi , Alexandre Pouget

Decision-making individuals are typically either an imitator, who mimics the action of the most successful individual(s), a conformist (or coordinating individual), who chooses an action if enough others have done so, or a nonconformist (or…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Hien Le , Mohaddeseh Rajaee , Pouria Ramazi

We develop a sequence of models describing information transmission and decision dynamics for a network of individual agents subject to multiple sources of influence. Our general framework is set in the context of an impending natural…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Danielle S. Bassett , David L. Alderson , Jean M. Carlson

Opinion dynamics is nowadays a very common field of research. In this article we formulate and then study a novel, namely strategic perspective on such dynamics: There are the usual normal agents that update their opinions, for instance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Rainer Hegselmann , Stefan König , Sascha Kurz , Christoph Niemann , Jörg Rambau

A society of agents, with ideological positions, or "opinions" measured by real values ranging from $-\infty$ (the "far left") to $+\infty$ (the "far right"), is considered. At fixed (unit) time intervals agents repeatedly reconsider and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Dmitry Rabinovich , Alfred M. Bruckstein

We study the evolution of information in interactive decision making through the lens of a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem. Focusing on a fundamental example where a unique optimal arm outperforms the rest by a fixed margin, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Yuzhou Gu , Yanjun Han , Jian Qian

The dynamics of affective decision making is considered for an intelligent network composed of agents with different types of memory: long-term and short-term memory. The consideration is based on probabilistic affective decision theory,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-04 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

This paper considers a problem where multiple users make repeated decisions based on their own observed events. The events and decisions at each time step determine the values of a utility function and a collection of penalty functions. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-13 Michael J. Neely

Some social networks provide explicit mechanisms to allocate social rewards such as reputation based on user activity, while the mechanism is more opaque in other networks. Nonetheless, there are always individuals who obtain greater…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Yuxin Xiao , Adit Krishnan , Hari Sundaram

User interests are usually dynamic in the real world, which poses both theoretical and practical challenges for learning accurate preferences from rich behavior data. Among existing user behavior modeling solutions, attention networks are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Chao Chen , Haoyu Geng , Nianzu Yang , Junchi Yan , Daiyue Xue , Jianping Yu , Xiaokang Yang

A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinion, which results from the combination of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-09 Serge Galam

Making judicious channel access and transmission scheduling decisions is essential for improving performance as well as energy and spectral efficiency in multichannel wireless systems. This problem has been a subject of extensive study in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-07 Yang Liu , Mingyan Liu
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