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This paper identifies and addresses dynamic selection problems in online learning algorithms with endogenous data. In a contextual multi-armed bandit model, a novel bias (self-fulfilling bias) arises because the endogeneity of the data…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-29 Jin Li , Ye Luo , Xiaowei Zhang

A researcher observes a finite sequence of choices made by multiple agents in a binary-state environment. Agents maximize expected utilities that depend on their chosen alternative and the unknown underlying state. Agents learn about the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-11 Rahul Deb , Ludovic Renou

Information about world events is disseminated through a wide variety of news channels, each with specific considerations in the choice of their reporting. Although the multiplicity of these outlets should ensure a variety of viewpoints,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Jeremie Rappaz , Dylan Bourgeois , Karl Aberer

We investigate attention as the active pursuit of useful information. This contrasts with attention as a mechanism for the attenuation of irrelevant information. We also consider the role of short-term memory, whose use is critical to any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Philip Bachman , David Krueger , Doina Precup

The goal of this article is to investigate how human participants allocate their limited time to decisions with different properties. We report the results of two behavioral experiments. In each trial of the experiments, the participant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-20 Arash Khodadadi , Pegah Fakhari , Jerome R. Busemeyer

Dynamic decisions are pivotal to economic policy making. We show how existing evidence from randomized control trials can be utilized to guide personalized decisions in challenging dynamic environments with budget and capacity constraints.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-26 Karun Adusumilli , Friedrich Geiecke , Claudio Schilter

In a news recommender system, a reader's preferences change over time. Some preferences drift quite abruptly (short-term preferences), while others change over a longer period of time (long-term preferences). Although the existing news…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Shaina Raza

News recommendation models often fall short in capturing users' preferences due to their static approach to user-news interactions. To address this limitation, we present a novel dynamic news recommender model that seamlessly integrates…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Qinghua Zhao

I study how strategic communication among voters shapes both political outcomes and parties' advertising strategies in a model of informative campaign advertising. Two main results are derived. First, echo chambers arise endogenously.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-13 Monica Anna Giovanniello

We study the voting game where agents' preferences are endogenously decided by the information they receive, and they can collaborate in a group. We show that strategic voting behaviors have a positive impact on leading to the ``correct''…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Qishen Han , Grant Schoenebeck , Biaoshuai Tao , Lirong Xia

Opinion formation is an important element of social dynamics. It has been widely studied in the last years with tools from physics, mathematics and computer science. Here, a continuous model of opinion dynamics for multiple possible choices…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

Since the information available is fundamental for our perceptions and opinions, we are interested in understanding the conditions allowing for a good information to be disseminated. This paper explores opinion dynamics by means of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Walter Quattrociocchi , Rosaria Conte , Elena Lodi

In order to truly understand how social media might shape online discourses or contribute to societal polarization, we need refined models of platform choice, that is: models that help us understand why users prefer one social media…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-11-08 Sven Banisch , Dennis Jacob , Tom Willaert , Eckehard Olbrich

Opinion dynamics concerns social processes through which populations or groups of individuals agree or disagree on specific issues. As such, modelling opinion dynamics represents an important research area that has been progressively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-06 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

An agent acquires information dynamically until her belief about a binary state reaches an upper or lower threshold. She can choose any signal process subject to a constraint on the rate of entropy reduction. Strategies are ordered by "time…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-23 Daniel Chen , Weijie Zhong

What are the value and form of optimal persuasion when information can be generated only slowly? We study this question in a dynamic model in which a 'sender' provides public information over time subject to a graduality constraint, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-19 Matteo Escudé , Ludvig Sinander

Here, I study how to obtain an opinion dynamics model for the case where there are $M$ possible discrete choices and there is need to model how strong each agent choice is. The new model is obtained as an extension of the Continuous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-29 Andre C. R. Martins

The news recommender systems are marked by a few unique challenges specific to the news domain. These challenges emerge from rapidly evolving readers' interests over dynamically generated news items that continuously change over time. News…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Shaina Raza , Chen Ding

This paper analyzes a dynamic interaction between a fully rational, privately informed sender and a boundedly rational, uninformed receiver with memory constraints. The sender controls the flow of information, while the receiver designs a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-12 Qingmin Liu , Yuyang Miao

Evidence-based decision-making entails collecting (costly) observations about an underlying phenomenon of interest, and subsequently committing to an (informed) decision on the basis of accumulated evidence. In this setting, active sensing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Daniel Jarrett , Mihaela van der Schaar