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We revisit the SICA (Susceptible-Infectious-Chronic-AIDS) mathematical model for transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) with varying population size in a homogeneously mixing population. We consider SICA models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-10 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We propose a new mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium is proved. Then, based on data provided by the "Progress Report on the AIDS…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-30 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We investigate the celebrated mathematical SICA model but using fractional differential equations in order to better describe the dynamics of HIV-AIDS infection. The infection process is modelled by a general functional response and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Adnane Boukhouima , El Mehdi Lotfi , Marouane Mahrouf , Silverio Rosa , Delfim F. M. Torres , Noura Yousfi

We propose a stochastic SICA epidemic model for HIV transmission, described by stochastic ordinary differential equations, and discuss its perturbation by environmental white noise. Existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-30 Jasmina Djordjevic , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

It is the main purpose of this paper to introduce a graph-valued stochastic process in order to model the spread of a communicable infectious disease. The major novelty of the SIR model we promote lies in the fact that the social network on…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-06 Charanpal Dhanjal , Stéphan Clémençon

In this article, we consider an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with four classes of individuals. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number $R_0$ of the system. The stability analysis of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Nouar Chorfi , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

This research gives a thorough examination of an HIV infection model that includes quiescent cells and immune response dynamics in the host. The model, represented by a system of ordinary differential equations, captures the complex…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-04 Ibrahim Nali , Attila Dénes , Abdessamad Tridane , Xueyong Zhou

The precise mechanism that causes HIV infection to progress to AIDS is still unknown. This paper presents a mathematical model which is able to predict the entire trajectory of the HIV/AIDS dynamics, then a possible explanation for this…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-19 Esteban A. Hernandez-Vargas , Dhagash Mehta , Richard H. Middleton

Reliable estimation of spatio-temporal trends in population-level HIV incidence is becoming an increasingly critical component of HIV prevention policy-making. However, direct measurement is nearly impossible. Current, widely used models…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Timothy M Wolock , Seth R Flaxman , Jeffrey W Eaton

We consider a time-delayed HIV/AIDS epidemic model with education dissemination and study the asymptotic dynamics of solutions as well as the asymptotic behavior of the endemic equilibrium with respect to the amount of information…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Dawit Denu , Sedar Ngoma , Rachidi B. Salako

The Cuban contact-tracing detection system set up in 1986 allowed the reconstruction and analysis of the sexual network underlying the epidemic (5,389 vertices and 4,073 edges, giant component of 2,386 nodes and 3,168 edges), shedding light…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-25 Stéphan Clémençon , Hector De Arazoza , Fabrice Rossi , Viet Chi Tran

As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national level. However, the epidemic models…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-18 Le Bao , Mary Mahy , Xiaoyue Niu , Tim Brown , Peter Ghys

In this article, we propose a network spread model for HIV epidemics, wherein each individual is represented by a node of the transmission network and the edges are the connections between individuals along which the infection may spread.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-08-29 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

Local estimates of HIV-prevalence provide information that can be used to target interventions and consequently increase the efficiency of the resources. This closer-to-optimal allocation can lead to better health outcomes, including the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-18 Enrique M. Saldarriaga

An adequate near-optimal control problem for a stochastic SICA (Susceptible-Infected-Chronic-AIDS) compartmental epidemic model for HIV transmission with imprecise parameters is formulated and investigated. We prove some estimates for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Houssine Zine , Delfim F. M. Torres

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

This paper presents a mathematical model to investigate co-infection with HIV/AIDS and zika virus (ZIKV) in Colombia and Brazil, where the first cases were reported in 2015-2016. The model considers the sexual transmission dynamics of both…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-17 Jhoana P. Romero-Leiton , Idriss Sekkak , Julien Arino , Bouchra Nasri

In this paper, we construct a model to describe the transmission of HIV in a homogeneous host population. By considering the specific mechanism of HIV, we derive a model structured in three successive stages: (i) primary infection, (ii)…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Mboya Ba , Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse , Mountaga Lam , Jean-Jules Tewa

In this paper, we introduce a general framework for co-infection as cooperative SIR dynamics. We first solve analytically CGCG model [1] and then the generalized model in symmetric scenarios. We calculate transition points, order parameter,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Fatemeh Zarei , Saman Moghimi-Araghi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad
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