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We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

The $k$-means clustering algorithm and its variant, the spherical $k$-means clustering, are among the most important and popular methods in unsupervised learning and pattern detection. In this paper, we explore how the spherical $k$-means…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-28 Anja Janßen , Phyllis Wan

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

Phenomenological characteristics of the sample of the Algol-type stars are revised using a recently developed NAV ("New Algol Variable") algorithm (2012Ap.....55..536A, 2012arXiv 1212.6707A) and compared to that obtained using common…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-13 Mariia G. Tkachenko , Ivan L. Andronov , Lidia L. Chinarova

Application of the exact statistical inference frequently leads to a non-standard probability distributions of the considered estimators or test statistics. The exact distributions of many estimators and test statistics can be specified by…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-09 Viktor Witkovský

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We developed software for detection of variable stars using CCD photometry. It works with "varfind data" that could be exported after processing CCD frames using C-Munipack. Our goals were maximum automation and support of large fields of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-18 Vitalii Breus

We consider discrete linear Chebyshev approximation problems in which the unknown parameters of linear function are fitted by minimizing the maximum absolute deviation of errors. Such problems find application in the solution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Nikolai Krivulin

Max-stable processes have been expanded to quantify extremal dependence in spatio-temporal data. Due to the interaction between space and time, spatio-temporal data are often complex to analyze. So, characterizing these dependencies is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

We present ABRA, a suite of algorithms that compute and maintain probabilistically-guaranteed, high-quality, approximations of the betweenness centrality of all nodes (or edges) on both static and fully dynamic graphs. Our algorithms rely…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-02-19 Matteo Riondato , Eli Upfal

The original formulation of BEAMS - Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species - showed how to use a dataset contaminated by points of multiple underlying types to perform unbiased parameter estimation. An example is cosmological…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-02 James Newling , Bruce. A. Bassett , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mathew Smith , Melvin Varughese

We derive exact expressions for the finite-time statistics of extrema (maximum and minimum) of the spatial displacement and the fluctuating entropy flow of biased random walks. Our approach captures key features of extreme events in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 Alexandre Guillet , Édgar Roldán , Frank Jülicher

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Existing extremum-seeking control (ESC) approaches typically rely on applying repeated perturbations to input parameters and performing measurements of the corresponding performance output. The required separation between the different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Wouter Weekers , Alessandro Saccon , Nathan van de Wouw

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

Astroinformatics is a new impact area in the world of astronomy, occasionally called the final frontier, where several astrophysicists, statisticians and computer scientists work together to tackle various data intensive astronomical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-04-30 Snehanshu Saha , Surbhi Agrawal , Manikandan. R , Kakoli Bora , Swati Routh , Anand Narasimhamurthy

The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Cambyse Pakzad

Dynamic models describe phenomena across scientific disciplines, yet to make these models useful in application the unknown parameter values of the models must be determined. Discrete-time dynamic models are widely used to model biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-08 Yosef Berman , Joshua Forrest , Matthew Grote , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Sonia Rueda

We propose an object detection algorithm which is efficient and fast enough to be used in (almost) real time with the limited computer capacities onboard satellites. For stars below the saturation limit of the CCD detectors it is based on a…

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs
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