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As the field of automated machine learning (AutoML) advances, it becomes increasingly important to incorporate domain knowledge into these systems. We present an approach for doing so by harnessing the power of large language models (LLMs).…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Noah Hollmann , Samuel Müller , Frank Hutter

Causal Impact (CI) of customer actions are broadly used across the industry to inform both short- and long-term investment decisions of various types. In this paper, we apply the double machine learning (DML) methodology to estimate the CI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Sushant More , Priya Kotwal , Sujith Chappidi , Dinesh Mandalapu , Chris Khawand

Causal machine-learning is about predicting the net-effect (true-lift) of treatments. Given the data of a treatment group and a control group, it is similar to a standard supervised-learning problem. Unfortunately, there is no similarly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 I-Sheng Yang

Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) is challenging, especially when treatment information is missing. Although this is a widespread problem in practice, CATE estimation with missing treatments has received little…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-19 Milan Kuzmanovic , Tobias Hatt , Stefan Feuerriegel

Across research disciplines, cluster randomized trials (CRTs) are commonly implemented to evaluate interventions delivered to groups of participants, such as communities and clinics. Despite advances in the design and analysis of CRTs,…

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success across various domains. However, a fundamental question remains: Can LLMs effectively utilize causal knowledge for prediction and generation? Through empirical studies, we find…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Kairong Han , Wenshuo Zhao , Ziyu Zhao , JunJian Ye , Lujia Pan , Kun Kuang

The Automated Model Evaluation (AutoEval) framework entertains the possibility of evaluating a trained machine learning model without resorting to a labeled testing set. Despite the promise and some decent results, the existing AutoEval…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Ru Peng , Qiuyang Duan , Haobo Wang , Jiachen Ma , Yanbo Jiang , Yongjun Tu , Xiu Jiang , Junbo Zhao

Computational quantum mechanics based molecular and materials design campaigns consume increasingly more high-performance compute resources, making improved job scheduling efficiency desirable in order to reduce carbon footprint or wasteful…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-06-15 Stefan Heinen , Max Schwilk , Guido Falk von Rudorff , O. Anatole von Lilienfeld

One of the most significant challenges in Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation is the statistical discrepancy between distinct treatment groups. To address this issue, we propose a model-agnostic data augmentation method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Ahmed Aloui , Juncheng Dong , Cat P. Le , Vahid Tarokh

Reconstructing accurate causal models of dynamic systems from time-series of sensor data is a key problem in many real-world scenarios. In this paper, we present an overview based on our experience about practical challenges that the causal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Luca Castri , Sariah Mghames , Nicola Bellotto

Reinforcement Learning (RL) faces significant challenges in adaptive healthcare interventions, such as dementia care, where data is scarce, decisions require interpretability, and underlying patient-state dynamic are complex and causal in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Wenzheng Zhao , Ran Zhang , Ruth Palan Lopez , Shu-Fen Wung , Fengpei Yuan

Randomized controlled trials are the standard method for estimating causal effects, ensuring sufficient statistical power and confidence through adequate sample sizes. However, achieving such sample sizes is often challenging. This study…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

This research aims to propose and evaluate a novel model named K-Fold Causal Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (K-Fold Causal BART) for improved estimation of Average Treatment Effects (ATE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

Causal machine learning methods which flexibly generate heterogeneous treatment effect estimates could be very useful tools for governments trying to make and implement policy. However, as the critical artificial intelligence literature has…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 Patrick Rehill , Nicholas Biddle

The recently proposed Collaborative Metric Learning (CML) paradigm has aroused wide interest in the area of recommendation systems (RS) owing to its simplicity and effectiveness. Typically, the existing literature of CML depends largely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Shilong Bao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

Motivated by applications in precision medicine and treatment effect heterogeneity, recent research has focused on estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) using machine learning (ML). CATE estimates may represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Oliver J. Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Numerous algorithms have been developed for Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation. In this paper, we first highlight a common issue where many algorithms exhibit inconsistent learning behavior for the same instance across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Yi-Fu Fu , Keng-Te Liao , Shou-De Lin

Causal reasoning is increasingly used in Reinforcement Learning (RL) to improve the learning process in several dimensions: efficacy of learned policies, efficiency of convergence, generalisation capabilities, safety and interpretability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Giovanni Briglia , Stefano Mariani , Franco Zambonelli

Treatment effect estimation involves assessing the impact of different treatments on individual outcomes. Current methods estimate Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) using observational datasets where covariates are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Lokesh Nagalapatti , Pranava Singhal , Avishek Ghosh , Sunita Sarawagi

Experimentation is widely utilized for causal inference and data-driven decision-making across disciplines. In an A/B experiment, for example, an online business randomizes two different treatments (e.g., website designs) to their customers…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Wenxuan Guo , JungHo Lee , Panos Toulis