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In this paper we propose a novel approach to realize forecast verification. Specifically, we introduce a strategy for assessing the severity of forecast errors based on the evidence that, on the one hand, a false alarm just anticipating an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Sabrina Guastavino , Michele Piana , Federico Benvenuto

In supervised learning, the estimation of prediction error on unlabeled test data is an important task. Existing methods are usually built on the assumption that the training and test data are sampled from the same distribution, which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-30 Hui Xu , Robert Tibshirani

We propose a new modeling and estimation approach to select the optimal treatment regime from different options through constructing a robust estimating equation. The method is protected against misspecification of the propensity score…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Wensheng Zhu , Yuanjia Wang

When evaluating the performance of clinical machine learning models, one must consider the deployment population. When the population of patients with observed labels is only a subset of the deployment population (label selection), standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Conor K. Corbin , Michael Baiocchi , Jonathan H. Chen

For machine learning models trained with limited labeled training data, validation stands to become the main bottleneck to reducing overall annotation costs. We propose a statistical validation algorithm that accurately estimates the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Fait Poms , Vishnu Sarukkai , Ravi Teja Mullapudi , Nimit S. Sohoni , William R. Mark , Deva Ramanan , Kayvon Fatahalian

In order to predict and fill in the gaps in categorical datasets, this research looked into the use of machine learning algorithms. The emphasis was on ensemble models constructed using the Error Correction Output Codes framework, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Muhammad Ishaq , Sana Zahir , Laila Iftikhar , Mohammad Farhad Bulbul , Seungmin Rho , Mi Young Lee

In a clustered observational study, a treatment is assigned to groups and all units within the group are exposed to the treatment. We develop a new method for statistical adjustment in clustered observational studies using approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Luke Keele , Eli Ben-Michael , Lindsay Page

An accurate multiclass classification strategy is crucial to interpreting antibody tests. However, traditional methods based on confidence intervals or receiver operating characteristics lack clear extensions to settings with more than two…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-07 Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley , Paul N. Patrone

Multi-label classification is a type of supervised learning where an instance may belong to multiple labels simultaneously. Predicting each label independently has been criticized for not exploiting any correlation between labels. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Hyukjun Gweon , Matthias Schonlau , Stefan Steiner

The standard quantile regression model assumes a linear relationship at the quantile of interest and that all variables are observed. We relax these assumptions by considering a partial linear model while allowing for missing linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-07 Ben Sherwood

In the era of deep learning, loss functions determine the range of tasks available to models and algorithms. To support the application of deep learning in multi-label classification (MLC) tasks, we propose the ZLPR (zero-bounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Jianlin Su , Mingren Zhu , Ahmed Murtadha , Shengfeng Pan , Bo Wen , Yunfeng Liu

In multiclass classification, the goal is to learn how to predict a random label $Y$, valued in $\mathcal{Y}=\{1,\; \ldots,\; K \}$ with $K\geq 3$, based upon observing a r.v. $X$, taking its values in $\mathbb{R}^q$ with $q\geq 1$ say, by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-24 Stephan Clémençon , Robin Vogel

The aim of Active Learning is to select the most informative samples from an unlabelled set of data. This is useful in cases where the amount of data is large and labelling is expensive, such as in machine vision or medical imaging. Two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Julien Combes , Alexandre Derville , Jean-François Coeurjolly

In this paper, a novel approach for the optimal combination of binary classifiers is proposed. The classifier combination problem is approached from a Game Theory perspective. The proposed framework of adapted weighted majority rules (WMR)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-05 Harris V. Georgiou , Michael E. Mavroforakis

This article addresses the problem of classification method based on both labeled and unlabeled data, where we assume that a density function for labeled data is different from that for unlabeled data. We propose a semi-supervised logistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-20 Shuichi Kawano

This paper is concerned with learning binary classifiers under adversarial label-noise. We introduce the problem of error-correction in learning where the goal is to recover the original clean data from a label-manipulated version of it,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-11 Srivatsan Laxman , Sushil Mittal , Ramarathnam Venkatesan

In hypothesis testing, the phenomenon of label noise, in which hypothesis labels are switched at random, contaminates the likelihood functions. In this paper, we develop a new method to determine the decision rule when we do not have…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Dennis Wei , Kush R. Varshney

One primary goal of precision medicine is to estimate the individualized treatment rules (ITRs) that optimize patients' health outcomes based on individual characteristics. Health studies with multiple treatments are commonly seen in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Xuqiao Li , Qiuyan Zhou , Ying Wu , Ying Yan

Not all data in a typical training set help with generalization; some samples can be overly ambiguous or outrightly mislabeled. This paper introduces a new method to identify such samples and mitigate their impact when training neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Geoff Pleiss , Tianyi Zhang , Ethan R. Elenberg , Kilian Q. Weinberger

We study the question of how best to assign an encouragement in a randomized encouragement study. In our setting, units arrive with covariates, receive a nudge toward treatment or control, acquire one of those statuses in a way that need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Tim Morrison , Minh Nguyen , Jonathan Chen , Michael Baiocchi , Art B. Owen
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