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Many natural systems exhibit tipping points where changing environmental conditions spark a sudden shift to a new and sometimes quite different state. Global climate change is often associated with the stability of marine carbon stocks. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jianyu Chen , Jianyu Hu , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we derive the Onsager--Machlup functional for a second-order Newton-type stochastic system driven by time-dependent fractional noise, \[ X_t'' = f_t(X_t, X_t') + \sigma_t \,\xi_t^{H}, \] where \( H \in (1/4,1) \). The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Yanbin Zhu , Xiaomeng Jiang , Yong Li

In many scientific and engineering problems, noise and nonlinearity are unavoidable, which could induce interesting mathematical problem such as transition phenomena. This paper focuses on efficiently discovering the most probable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Jin Guo , Ting Gao , Peng Zhang , Jiequn Han , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we derive the Onsager-Machlup functional for stochastic differential equations driven by time-varying fractional noise of the form X(t) = x0 + integral from 0 to t b_s(X(s)) ds + integral from 0 to t sigma_s dB^H(s), where…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yanbin Zhu , Xiaomeng Jiang , Yong Li

Brownian motion on manifolds with non-trivial diffusion coefficient can be constructed by stochastic development of Euclidean Brownian motions using the fiber bundle of linear frames. We provide a comprehensive study of paths for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Erlend Grong , Stefan Sommer

Yet another proof of Onsager-Machlup formula for diffusion processes on a Riemannian manifold after Takahashi-Watanabe, Fujita-Kotani. The proof is purely probabilistic and contains a precise study on an ergodic effect for a key Wiener…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Keisuke Hara , Yoichiro Takahashi

Onsager-Machlup functionals are used to describe the dynamics of a continuous stochastic process. For a stochastic process taking values in a Riemannian manifold, they have been studied extensively. We describe the Onsager-Machlup…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Marco Carfagnini , Maria Gordina

Chemical reactions can be modelled via diffusion processes conditioned to make a transition between specified molecular configurations representing the state of the system before and after the chemical reaction. In particular the model of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 F. Pinski , A. M. Stuart , F. Theil

This work is devoted to the investigation of the most probable transition path for stochastic dynamical systems driven by either symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion ($0<\alpha<1$) or Brownian motion. For stochastic dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Yuanfei Huang , Ying Chao , Shenglan Yuan , Jinqiao Duan

Recent experiments have probed the relative likelihoods of trajectories in stochastic systems by observing survival probabilities within a tube of radius $R$ in spacetime. We measure such probabilities here for a colloidal particle in a…

The Onsager principle provides a variational route to the phenomenological equations of dissipative dynamics through the minimization of the Rayleighian. We develop a covariant formulation of the Onsager principle for active systems,…

We give the explicit structure of the functional governing the dynamical density and current fluctuations for a mesoscopic system in a nonequilibrium steady state. Its canonical form determines a generalised Onsager-Machlup theory. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-07 Christian Maes , Karel Netočný

We consider diffusion-like paths that are explored by a particle moving via a conservative force while being in thermal equilibrium with its surroundings. To probe rare transitions, we use the Onsager-Machlup (OM) functional as a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-01 Patrick Malsom , Frank Pinski

We consider the solution of a stochastic differential equation with additive multidimensional fractional noise. In the case $\frac14<H<\frac12$, we compute the Onsager-Machlup functional (with respect to the driving fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Yohaï Maayan

In this paper, the explicit expression of Onsager-Machlup action functional to degenerate stochastic differential equations driven by fractional Brownian motion is derived provided the diffusion coeffcient and reference path satisfy some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Shanqi Liu , Hongjun Gao

We investigate the most probable phase portrait (MPPP) of a stochastic single-species model with the Allee effect using the non-local Fokker-Planck equation. This stochastic model is driven by non-Gaussian as well as Gaussian noise, and it…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Almaz Tesfay , Shenglan Yuan , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan

Analyzing when noisy trajectories, in the two dimensional plane, of a stochastic dynamical system exit the basin of attraction of a fixed point is specifically challenging when a periodic orbit forms the boundary of the basin of attraction.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Emmanuel Fleurantin , Katherine Slyman , Blake Barker , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

This paper proposes a simple mathematical model of non-stationary and non-linear stochastic dynamics, which approximates a (globally) non-stationary and non-linear stochastic process by its locally (or \emph{"piecewise"}) stationary…

Path-wise observables--functionals of stochastic trajectories--are at the heart of time-average statistical mechanics and are central to thermodynamic inequalities such as uncertainty relations, speed limits, and correlation-bounds. They…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Lars Torbjørn Stutzer , Cai Dieball , Aljaž Godec

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the existence of the Onsager-Machlup action functional for degenerate McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. To this end, we first derive Onsager-Machlup action functional for degenerate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Shanqi Liu , Hongjun Gao