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Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We develop a class of non-Gaussian translation processes that extend classical stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by prescribing arbitrary absolutely continuous marginal distributions. Our approach uses a copula-based transformation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Robert Richardson , H. Dennis Tolley , Kenneth Kuttler

Large, non-Gaussian spatial datasets pose a considerable modeling challenge as the dependence structure implied by the model needs to be captured at different scales, while retaining feasible inference. Skew-normal and skew-t distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-07 Felipe Tagle , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

Gaussian processes (GPs) are distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to regression and classification. In spite of their success, GPs have limited use in some applications, for example, in some cases a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

The presence of non-Gaussian tails is a prevalent characteristic in many financial modeling scenarios, necessitating the use of complex non-Gaussian distributions such as the generalized beta of the second kind (GB2) and the skewed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-10 Xing Yan , Yue Zhao , Qi Wu , Wenxuan Ma

A semi-analytic method is proposed for the generation of realizations of a multivariate process of a given linear correlation structure and marginal distribution. This is an extension of a similar method for univariate processes,…

Computation · Statistics 2014-03-14 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Efthimia Bora-Senta

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

Spatial data are often derived from multiple sources (e.g. satellites, in-situ sensors, survey samples) with different supports, but associated with the same properties of a spatial phenomenon of interest. It is common for predictors to…

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Botond Szabo , Amine Hadji , Aad van der Vaart

Nonstationary non-Gaussian spatial data are common in many disciplines, including climate science, ecology, epidemiology, and social sciences. Examples include count data on disease incidence and binary satellite data on cloud mask…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-30 Benjamin Seiyon Lee , Jaewoo Park

We consider modeling of angular or directional data viewed as a linear variable wrapped onto a unit circle. In particular, we focus on the spatio-temporal context, motivated by a collection of wave directions obtained as computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

In this paper we concentrate on an alternative modeling strategy for positive data that exhibit spatial or spatio-temporal dependence. Specifically we propose to consider stochastic processes obtained trough a monotone transformation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-08 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , C. Gaetan

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer

Skew-symmetric families of distributions such as the skew-normal and skew-$t$ represent supersets of the normal and $t$ distributions, and they exhibit richer classes of extremal behaviour. By defining a non-stationary skew-normal process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Scott A. Sisson

In the environmental modeling field, the exploratory analysis of responses often exhibits spatial correlation as well as some non-Gaussian attributes such as skewness and/or heavy-tailedness. Consequently, we propose a general spatial model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Behzad Mahmoudian

To study trends in extreme precipitation across US over the years 1951-2017, we consider 10 climate indexes that represent extreme precipitation, such as annual maximum of daily precipitation, annual maximum of consecutive 5-day average…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-01 Arnab Hazra , Brian J. Reich , Ana-Maria Staicu

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier
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