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When a black-box optimization objective can only be evaluated with costly or noisy measurements, most standard optimization algorithms are unsuited to find the optimal solution. Specialized algorithms that deal with exactly this situation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Laurens Bliek , Sicco Verwer , Mathijs de Weerdt

A recent line of work on black-box adversarial attacks has revived the use of transfer from surrogate models by integrating it into query-based search. However, we find that existing approaches of this type underperform their potential, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Nicholas A. Lord , Romain Mueller , Luca Bertinetto

This paper presents a neural network--enhanced surrogate modeling approach for diffusion problems with spatially varying random field coefficients. The method builds on numerical homogenization, which compresses fine-scale coefficients into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Fabian Kröpfl , Daniel Peterseim , Elisabeth Ullmann

In this paper we introduce a novel way of estimating prediction uncertainty in deep networks through the use of uncertainty surrogates. These surrogates are features of the penultimate layer of a deep network that are forced to match…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Radhakrishna Achanta , Natasa Tagasovska

Surrogate modeling has brought about a revolution in computation in the branches of science and engineering. Backed by Artificial Intelligence, a surrogate model can present highly accurate results with a significant reduction in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Abid Hossain Khan , Salauddin Omar , Nadia Mushtary , Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Syed Alam

The advances in data science and machine learning have resulted in significant improvements regarding the modeling and simulation of nonlinear dynamical systems. It is nowadays possible to make accurate predictions of complex systems such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Sebastian Peitz , Katharina Bieker

Wastewater systems are transitioning towards integrative process systems to recover multiple resources whilst simultaneously satisfying regulations on final effluent quality. This work contributes to the literature by bringing a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Alex Durkin , Miao Guo

Surrogate models can reduce computational costs for multivariable functions with an unknown internal structure (black boxes). In a discrete formulation, surrogate modeling is equivalent to restoring a multidimensional array (tensor) from a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Andrei Chertkov , Gleb Ryzhakov , Ivan Oseledets

In complex large-scale systems such as climate, important effects are caused by a combination of confounding processes that are not fully observable. The identification of sources from observations of system state is vital for attribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Joseph Hart , Mamikon Gulian , Indu Manickam , Laura Swiler

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Surrogate models - also called emulators - are widely used to facilitate Bayesian inference in settings where computational costs preclude the use of standard posterior inference algorithms. Their deployment is now standard practice across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Andrew Gerard Roberts , Michael C. Dietze , Jonathan H. Huggins

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have been shown to outperform traditional machine learning algorithms in a broad variety of application domains due to their effectiveness in modeling complex problems and handling high-dimensional datasets. Many…

In this work we propose a deep neural network based surrogate model for a plasma shadowgraph - a technique for visualization of perturbations in a transparent medium. We are substituting the numerical code by a computationally cheaper…

In offline data-driven multi-objective optimization (MOO), optimization is performed using surrogate models trained only on an offline dataset. These surrogate models contain inherent errors and uncertainty. This epistemic uncertainty can…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Huanbo Lyu , Miqing Li , Shiqiao Zhou , Daniel Herring , Jelena Ninic , Zheming Zuo , Lingfeng Wang , James Andrews , Fabian Spill , Shuo Wang

Learning controller parameters from closed-loop data has been shown to improve closed-loop performance. Bayesian optimization, a widely used black-box and sample-efficient learning method, constructs a probabilistic surrogate of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Sebastian Hirt , Valentinus Suwanto , Hendrik Alsmeier , Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Decision support systems often rely on solving complex optimization problems that may require to estimate uncertain parameters beforehand. Recent studies have shown how using traditionally trained estimators for this task can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Gaetano Signorelli , Michele Lombardi

We consider the problem of offline black-box optimization, where the goal is to discover optimal designs (e.g., molecules or materials) from past experimental data. A key challenge in this setting is data scarcity: in many scientific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Azza Fadhel , The Hung Tran , Trong Nghia Hoang , Jana Doppa

Surrogate markers are most commonly studied within the context of randomized clinical trials. However, the need for alternative outcomes extends beyond these settings and may be more pronounced in real-world public health and social science…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Rebecca Knowlton , Layla Parast

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

Systematic exploration of Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is challenged by the curse of dimensionality and their inherent stochasticity. We present a multi-stage pipeline integrating the systematic design of experiments with machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Paul Saves , Matthieu Mastio , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou
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