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In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

We consider the life-cycle optimal portfolio choice problem faced by an agent receiving labor income and allocating her wealth to risky assets and a riskless bond subject to a borrowing constraint. In this paper, to reflect a realistic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Boualem Djehiche , Fausto Gozzi , Giovanni Zanco , Margherita Zanella

Let S_n=X_1+...+X_n be a sum of independent symmetric random variables such that |X_{i}|\leq 1. Denote by W_n=\epsilon_{1}+...+\epsilon_{n} a sum of independent random variables such that \prob{\eps_i = \pm 1} = 1/2. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Dainius Dzindzalieta , Matas Šileikis , Tomas Juškevičius

Portfolio optimization methods suffer from a catalogue of known problems, mainly due to the facts that pair correlations of asset returns are unstable, and that extremal risk measures such as maximum drawdown are difficult to predict due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-20 Jan Rosenzweig

We investigate the issue of parameter estimation with nonuniform negative sampling for imbalanced data. We first prove that, with imbalanced data, the available information about unknown parameters is only tied to the relatively small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 HaiYing Wang , Aonan Zhang , Chong Wang

The demand for voluntary insurance against low-probability, high-impact risks is lower than expected. To assess the magnitude of the demand, we conduct a meta-analysis of contingent valuation studies using a dataset of experimentally…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Selim Mankaï , Sébastien Marchand , Ngoc Ha Le

We study least squares linear regression over $N$ uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features $p$ is at most the sample size $n$, the estimator under consideration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu

Major events like natural catastrophes or the COVID-19 crisis have impact both on the financial market and on claim arrival intensities and claim sizes of insurers. Thus, when optimal investment and reinsurance strategies have to be…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Gregor Leimcke

Let $x_i$, $i\in\mathbb{Z}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. standard normal random variables. Consider rectangular Toeplitz $\mathbf{X}=\left(x_{j-i}\right)_{1\leq i\leq p,1\leq j\leq n}$ and circulant $\mathbf{X}=\left(x_{(j-i)\mod…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Alexei Onatski , Vladislav Kargin

We propose a coefficient of conditional dependence between two random variables $Y$ and $Z$ given a set of other variables $X_1,\ldots,X_p$, based on an i.i.d. sample. The coefficient has a long list of desirable properties, the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Mona Azadkia , Sourav Chatterjee

The entropy accumulation theorem states that the smooth min-entropy of an $n$-partite system $A = (A_1, \ldots, A_n)$ is lower-bounded by the sum of the von Neumann entropies of suitably chosen conditional states up to corrections that are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-23 Frédéric Dupuis , Omar Fawzi

At the core of most random utility models (RUMs) is an individual agent with a random utility component following a largest extreme value Type I (LEVI) distribution. What if, instead, the random component follows its mirror image -- the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Richard T. Carson , Derrick H. Sun , Yixiao Sun

Our purpose is to model the dependence between two random variables, taking into account a priori knowledge on these variables. For example, in many applications (oceanography, finance...), there exists an order relation between the two…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-22 Dominique Drouet Mari , Valerie Monbet

We explore negative dependence and stochastic orderings, showing that if an integer-valued random variable $W$ satisfies a certain negative dependence assumption, then $W$ is smaller (in the convex sense) than a Poisson variable of equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Fraser Daly

Interval estimation of the probability of success in a Binomial model is considered. Zieli\'nski (2018) showed that the confidence interval which uses information about non-homogeneity of the sample is better than the classical one. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Stanisław Jaworski , Wojciech Zieliński

A prescription is presented for a new and practical correlation coefficient, $\phi_K$, based on several refinements to Pearson's hypothesis test of independence of two variables. The combined features of $\phi_K$ form an advantage over…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 M. Baak , R. Koopman , H. Snoek , S. Klous

In this paper, we consider an informational market model with two flows of informations. The smallest flow F, which is available to all agents, is the filtration of the initial market model(S,F,P), where S is the assets' prices and P is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-11 Ferdoos Alharbi , Tahir Choulli

Consider a random sample $X_1 , X_2 , ..., X_n$ drawn independently and identically distributed from some known sampling distribution $P_X$. Let $X_{(1)} \le X_{(2)} \le ... \le X_{(n)}$ represent the order statistics of the sample. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush

Risk contributions of portfolios form an indispensable part of risk adjusted performance measurement. The risk contribution of a portfolio, e.g., in the Euler or Aumann-Shapley framework, is given by the partial derivatives of a risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-14 Akif Ince , Ilaria Peri , Silvana Pesenti

The use of massive survival data has become common in survival analysis. In this study, a subsampling algorithm is proposed for the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates when the sample is extraordinarily large but…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Feng Xiao , Cunjie Lin , Yong Zhou
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